To keep Dwight Howard, the Lakers will have to sell him on a vision for 2014 and beyond. As a result, if championships are his goal, the Rockets are the safer bet for a whole host of reasons. Read More. Written by Jonathan Tjarks on May 23, 2013
The event gives front offices the opportunity to evaluate D-League players with the possibility of offering Summer League or training camp invites. Read More.
Tyus Jones, the No. 2 overall recruit for 2014 and an excellent point guard, was selected by Paul Biancardi, Adam Finkelstein and John Stovall. Read More.
I thought about writing about how the Missouri Valley Conference keeps missing out. VCU stole Wichita St.’s thunder in the NCAA tournament and the A10 added Butler before the MVC even contemplated expansion. I thought about writing about how the West Coast Conference has been strictly boring this off-season. There have been zero coaching changes, and no team shuffling (Pacific won’t join until next year). And as great as he looked in his debut, BYU’s Matt Carlino is no Jimmer Fredette. Still nothing inspired me.
Then I ran into Luke Winn’s Tuesday column on conference realignment. The first thing that struck me is how the WCC is now a Top 10 conference. The eight teams in the WCC in 2010-2011 had a 10-year Pythagorean Winning Percentage (PWP) of 0.5346. The conference added BYU with a 10-year PWP of 0.8266 and Pacific with a 10-year PWP of 0.5704. Combined the new 10 team 10-year PWP will be 0.5674 which would put the league behind the A10 but firmly in the Top 10 of college conferences. And the MVC was already in the top 10. If you care about college basketball, there is no question you should care about these two leagues.
BYU returns a respectable 69% of its possessions from last year, but the Relative Value (RV) column shows that BYU’s returning roster is made up of the least efficient offensive players on the team. Goodbye Noah Hartsock. It was a nice run Charles Abouo. Some people will miss the memories from their Sweet Sixteen run in 2011, but what BYU will really miss is their offensive efficiency. So why does the model still pick BYU for 2nd in the league? First, Dave Rose gets some lingering credit. Rose has now made the NCAA tournament six straight years and my model accounts for coaching ability. And BYU also gave a lot of possessions to freshmen last year.
San Diego is my ultimate sleeper team. Fully 47% of the Toreros possessions last season went to freshmen and while that led to some growing pains for Bill Grier’s team, Johnny Dee and Christopher Anderson have the potential to be special players. Dee made 79 threes last season and Anderson got to the free throw line at an elite rate. Combine their perimeter play with the efficient play of Dennis Kramer inside and you have the building blocks for a surprise team. San Diego struggled on the full season last year posting a 13-18 record and posting miserable Margin-of-Victory numbers (MOV). But by the time the WCC season rolled around San Diego was already playing better basketball. The Toreros finished 7-9 in league play and the growth potential for this team remains significant.
Rex Walters seemed like he might be building something at San Francisco, but the team has seen a number of players transfer. Perris Blackwell, Avery Johnson, Khalil Murphy, Justin Raffington, Charles Standifer, and Michael Williams all departed putting the Dons squarely in rebuilding mode. Luckily UCLA transfer De’End Parker should be eligible due to a family medical hardship waiver.
Team
PW
PL
P%
FrP%
T10Fr
N100
Total
NC
RV
MOV12
Creighton
14
4
81%
12%
0
0
1
N
1.013
0.826
Northern Iowa
12
6
88%
27%
0
0
0
N
1.005
0.704
Wichita St.
12
6
29%
8%
0
1
1
N
0.934
0.923
Illinois St.
11
7
83%
7%
0
0
0
Y
1.009
0.714
Missouri St.
9
9
48%
6%
0
0
0
N
1.019
0.663
Drake
7
11
55%
18%
0
0
0
N
1.021
0.539
Evansville
7
11
70%
11%
0
0
0
N
0.996
0.614
Indiana St.
7
11
38%
6%
0
0
0
N
1.042
0.542
Southern Illinois
7
11
65%
18%
0
0
0
Y
0.986
0.325
Bradley
4
14
76%
13%
0
0
0
N
0.981
0.235
How is Gregg Marshall still at Wichita St.? After taking Winthrop to three straight NCAA tournaments and earning the rare NCAA victory at the Big South school, all he did was turn Wichita St. into a top 10 margin-of-victory team. I am more than a little skeptical that Wichita St. can finish 12-6 in a year in which the team loses 5 key seniors. But Carl Hall and Demetric Williams are back, and the model gives Marshall a ton of credit for building teams. The last three years the Shockers have finished 12-6, 14-4, and 16-2 in the MVC, and that is the track record of an elite coach. But 7 footers like Garrett Stutz don’t grow on trees, and I’m nervous that his defensive presence will be impossible to replace.
The model is very pleased to see Barry Hinson check in at Southern Illinois. It might take some time to rebuild the Salukis, but the former Missouri St. coach has won in this league before and he will win again. It is hard to believe a Saluki team that once dominated the league hasn’t won 7 conference games since 2009. By focusing on defense, Hinson will have Southern Illinois more competitive in his first year.
Speaking of elite coaches, Ben Jacobson is only two years away from his Farokhmanesh moment, and he brings back every rotation player except Johnny Moran this off-season. Northern Iowa will clearly be a factor. But Doug McDermott is back and that is pretty much all you need to know to be excited about Creighton. The Blue Jays will be the favorite even if last year’s defense was a little suspect.
The older I get, the more I see that one of the things I love most about sports is the variety of it, the diversity of it and the CHARACTERS. Men’s tennis is at its best in many years because, for the first time in a long time, the top three or four players all have wildly different styles. The Tim Tebow story was fun on so many levels, but one of those levels was that he was just SO DIFFERENT in how he played — I’d say we are entering a great time for quarterbacks, because Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers and Eli Manning and Drew Brees and Michael Vick and Cam Newton and Tebow and others are not really alike at all.
As a basketball fan, I’ve never understood the division that exists between fans of the NBA and the NCAA. While the NBA has the best basketball players in the world, March Madness is compelling in its own right and as entertaining as anything that happens on the professional level.
In the NBA, the owners of the 30 franchises consider turning a profit and getting an equal shot at the top players a right, regardless of how well (or how poorly) they run their organization and the respective size of their fan-bases. Since every losing team is a few ping pong balls from the rights to a LeBron James, Kevin Durant or Dwight Howard, personnel determines scheme in the NBA.
In contrast, the vast majority of the 344 Division I programs in college basketball have little chance of ever receiving a commitment from a McDonald’s All-American. But instead of petulantly trying to sabotage the sport in a misguided effort to legislate fairness, schools try many creative ways of leveraging the talents of the players they can recruit. As a result, scheme determines personnel in the NCAA.
At Syracuse, Jim Boeheim has made a Hall of Fame career out of running a contrarian scheme, in his case an aggressive 2-3 zone. The Orange traditionally have rosters full of “1.5’s”, 6’3+ combo guards lacking the quickness to defend elite PG’s and the size to defend SG’s, and “3.5’s”, 6’8+ combo forwards lacking the quickness to defend elite SF’s and the size to defend PF’s. However, because Syracuse never plays man defense, the athletic deficiencies of their players are minimized.
So while nearly every NBA team runs a fairly similar system of isolations, pick-and-rolls and man defense, an incredibly diverse array of styles can be found in the college game. On one end of the spectrum, teams like Missouri play four guards and pressure the ball 94 feet for 48 minutes, on the other, teams like Wisconsin run a deliberate motion offense, trying to minimize the number of possessions and shoot at the very end of the shot-clock.
In the NBA, the players are too good for the “40 Minutes of Hell” system (which Mike Anderson has brought to Missouri and Arkansas in the last few years) to be successful. Like Mike Leach’s bizarre pass-happy offense in college football, Anderson’s system, which he learned as a member of Nolan Richardson’s staff in Arkansas in the 1990’s, has philosophical holes that professional athletes can exploit. Nevertheless, that doesn’t make them any less entertaining on the collegiate level.
And with 68 teams set to compete in the NCAA Tournament, there are a lot more surprises in the college game. Even programs ranked in the top-15 like Murray State have barely been on national TV this season.
We have a pretty good idea of how teams like the Pacers and the 76ers match up with the top of the Eastern Conference but not whether an undersized Murray State squad can handle the size of an elite team from a Power Six conference. It’s an open question how Isaiah Canaan’s speed and athleticism translates outside of the Ohio Valley Conference. Non-conference play in college basketball generally ends in late December, so it’s almost impossible to gauge how younger teams like Texas, Washington and Tennessee who have found their groove in the last two months will fare in March.
In the NBA, it’s hard to envision a scenario where Chicago, Miami and Oklahoma City aren’t three of the final four teams left in the playoffs. In the NCAA, as many as two dozen teams have a legitimate shot at making a run at the Final Four.
Of course, in terms of entertainment, none of this makes the NCAA necessarily better or worse than the NBA, just different. But, as Posnanski writes, there’s something to be said for the concept of “different” in the modern sports world. Basketball fans of all stripes should enjoy March Madness; the NBA will still be here in a few weeks.
While other conferences keep their First Team sparse at five players, the WCC All-Conference First Team goes ten deep.
How has each school from the conference of Bill Russell, Steve Nash, Kurt Rambis and Hank Gathers fared in this category since the 99-00 season?
Gonzaga: 28
The dominance of Gonzaga on this list of course comes as no surprise, with twice as many selections as their nearest competitor.
Matt Bouldin (3), Casey Calvary (2), Dan Dickau (3), Adam Morrison (2), Jeremy Pargo (2), Derek Ravio (2), Blake Stepp (2), Ronny Turiaf (3) and Cory Violette (3), each have multiple appearances on this list.
Elias Harris already has one and J.P. Batista was a member of the First Team in 2006.
Austin Daye, one of five former WCC players currently in the NBA, did not make this team during his two seasons in Spokane.
Saint Mary's: 14
While relative household names like Patty Mills and Omar Samhan made two appearances apiece, Daniel Kickert and Diamon Simpson each made three First Teams for the Gaels.
Mickey McConnell in 2010 and Samuel Saint-Jean in 2003 each made three First Teams and Paul Marginey made two of his own.
San Francisco: 11
Even though the Dons have the Bill Russell/K.C. Jones legacy, winning the NCAA Championship in 1955 and 1956, they haven't made the tournament since 1998.
Darrell Tucker and Dior Lowhorn each made three First Teams.
John Cox made two First Teams, while James Lee and Armondo Surratt made one apiece.
Santa Clara: 10
The Broncos have one two-timer in John Bryant and a host of single-season selection, including Doron Perkins who currently plays for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Sean Denison and John Bryant have won two of the past four Player of the Year awards.
San Diego: 10
Perhaps best known for playing in the Jenny Craig Pavilion, the Toreros had a three-year run from Gyno Pomare.
Jason Blair, Brandon Johnson, Jason Keep, Andre Laws, Nick Lewis and Brice Vounang have one bid apiece.
Pepperdine: 10
Brandon Armstron, Glen McGowan and Jimmy Miggins were each named to two First Teams.
Boomer Brazzle, Alex Acker and Yakhouba Diawara were named to one First Team for the Waves.
Portland: 9
Two First Team selections apiece came to Pooh Jeter and T.J. Campbell, while Nik Ravio, Coky Rochin, Robin Smuelders, Tim Frost and Darren Cooper were named to one.
Loyola Marymount: 7
Matthew Knight was a First Team selection in 2006 and 2007 for the Lions.
Sherman Gay, Wes Wardrop and Brandon Worthy were mid-decade First Teamers one time apiece.
Drew Viney and Vernon Teel were each First Team selections in 2010.