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Authored by J.T. Magee - 19th May, 2006 - 4:26 pm
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Merry Christmas, Raptors Fans
The Raptors might not be playing good basketball right now, but there are plenty of things for Toronto fans to be thankful for this holiday season.
A Melo Behind The Superstars
Carmelo Anthony has never been one of the league's most efficient offensive players.
A Melo Behind The Superstars
Carmelo Anthony has never been one of the league's most efficient offensive players.
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After reviewing the top 30 NBA prospects, Version 2.0 will break down what needs each team will look to fill, followed by who they will draft and why. This mock will go just by record, as the NBA Lottery will take place on May 23rd, during halftime of one of the Conference Finals' games.
Announced on Monday, Quincy Douby is officially in the draft for good. When entering the draft, Douby said that he would only to stay in if he were assured of being a first round pick. By hiring an agent, it means two things. One, he got enough people telling him he's a first round pick and rightfully so. Two, well, he better be right. I'm sure he'll be drafted in the first round, but strange things happen. He may not be selected near the top, if he's hearing that information, but if he's even heard that a team like Portland, who has the 30th pick, would take him if he were there, then he's in the first round.
This is the time of year for the playoffs, but not just in the NBA. There are five current draft prospects in the playoffs over in Europe. In the ACB (Spain's top league), Sergio Rodriguez, the talented point guard from Adecco Estudiantes, will be playing Unicaja Malaga in the first round of the ACB playoffs. Tiago Splitter, returning from his injury in the Euroleague Championship games this past weekend (and putting up 16 and six in 22 minutes), will help Tau Ceramica/Vitoria take on Akasvayu Girona, who has a player owned by the Orlando Magic in Fran Vazquez. Rounding out the prospects in Spain is Rudy Fernandez, whose team, DKV Joventut, will take on Gran Canaria Dunas. Former Jazz center Curtis Borchardt is the only former NBA player on their roster.
In Italy, their playoffs began on Thursday. Andrea Bargnani and Benetton Treviso take on Armani Milano, the former team of current Clipper rookie James Singleton. Thabo Sefolosha will help lead the #8 seed Angelico Biella against Climamio, who has rising shooting guard and future NBA player Marco Belinelli helping lead their team. These five players will not be involved in any sort of workout for NBA teams until their teams are knocked out of the playoffs. For all of these prospects, it's great. Why?
NBA teams can see them when it matters most: in the playoffs. Teams drafting in the Lottery will take a hard look at each player to determine whether or not they may be worth passing up. Each player will most likely see his stock rise or fall. These prospects have done a lot in the regular season, but most NBA executives don't make the trip out to Europe during the regular season. If they have a draft pick playing overseas, then they might go early, like Larry Bird did when he was scouting Erazem Lorbek back in December. These kids have the chance to showcase their skills and help lead their team to victory. That is much better than any sort of workout that only showcases what these players can do rather than what they can't.
While doing research for this draft, I came across some information about three of the prospects in this year's draft. Guillermo Diaz of Miami, Alexander Johnson of Florida State and Yotam Halperin are all working with well-renowned shooting coach David Thorpe at 5-Star Pro Training Program in Clearwater, FL. Thorpe is the same coach that helped Kevin Martin and Udonis Haslem fine tune their shots. Haslem played in France for a year, but his jumper from the top of the key is money if he's left open. It is one of the reasons the Heat are hesitant to give a lot of playing time to Wayne Simien. Martin is one of the best shooters no one knows about in the NBA and will most likely be Bonzi Wells' replacement in the starting lineup, pending he does not re-sign with Sacramento. So how does Thorpe help those three?
Diaz is the player most likely to benefit from the training. He has everything offensively and if he can show his knee is fully healthy to go along with a vastly improved jumper, there's no way he falls out of the first round. Halperin, a combo guard who played for Union Olympija on loan from Maccabi tel Aviv, Sarunas Jasikevicius' former team, has the skills to be a decent guard off the bench. He didn't get to show his ability to play the point because he was their main option on offense. If he can show teams his shot has improved as well as the ability to run the pick & roll a million different ways, he just may, but probably won't, crack the first round.
Now Alexander Johnson is a different case. He is one of the oldest players in this year's SFT at 23. He has the athleticism and tools to contribute immediately, but he was inconsistent in the ACC last season. He lost over 20 pounds between his sophomore and junior seasons. He has anywhere from a 36? to a 39? vertical. For someone that's 6'9?, that's very solid; as in late first round good. But can he shake off the inconsistency on the glass? In his last 15 games, he averaged 9.3 boards. When he grabbed double digits in rebounds, the Seminoles were 6-3. If he can show teams that consistency on the glass was legitimate, then he should become a lock for the first round.
Before presenting the Mock Draft, I came across an interesting article on NBA.com. I was searching for their NBA Draft coverage and came across an article written by Jeff Dengate. He writes about how he was there when they found out about who won the Lottery. The way it works is, there are fourteen evenly weighted balls, one representing each team. There are 1,001 possible four-number combinations. A team like Portland is assigned a certain combination, like 2-13-5-4. This means that if the number 2 comes up, followed by the other three numbers, then they receive the first pick. Then another four numbers are drawn to see who the second pick is. And then they do it once again for the third pick. It is a very interesting read. Here is the link:
http://www.nba.com/features/inside_lottery_050524.html
With no further ado, here is RealGM's official Mock Draft, Version 2.0.
1. Portland Trailblazers
Team Needs: PF/C, more experience off bench
Reasons: With Portland struggling so badly this year, there were two key areas which made it so bad: injuries and offense. They got off to a decent start, but a knee injury to Darius Miles (who is surely to be dealt this summer), a thumb injury to Sebastian Telfair and various injuries to different players marred Nate McMillian's first season. With the likely departure of Miles, Joel Przybilla, and possibly even Zach Randolph, the frontcourt will be in dire need of talent. They would like some veteran help, but no matter what, they will draft a 4 or 4/5 type player with their guaranteed Top-4 pick.
They draft: LaMarcus Aldridge, PF/C, Texas, Sophomore
Why?: Aldridge has the ability to run with Telfair and has the post game of a power forward. In three years, he has the type of body to fill out and become a player at either position and still not lose his ability to get out on the break. He would instantly become the first big man off the bench for McMillian and has the tools to become Portland's main defensive presence.
Why not Tyrus Thomas? The Blazers would definitely sell some tickets with him, but he is clearly a few years away from becoming a consistent contributor on both ends of the floor. Aldridge can step in immediately, give Portland some punch on offense, which they desperately need and still has the potential to be the cornerstone of their frontcourt. Andrea Bargnani and Adam Morrison are other options here, but the Blazers will need Przybilla insurance if he decides to bounce (NOK?).
2. Chicago Bulls (via New York Knicks )
Team needs: PF, big SG
Reasons: In the playoffs, the Bulls had offense, but they had to go small by playing both Luol Deng and Andres ?Shaggy? Nocioni at the same time. They gave up a lot of size to the Heat, but they were able to stretch out the series to six games. They very not able to get any production out of the likes of Malik Allen and Othella Harrington. With the emergence of Nocioni on offense, everyone is pointing the departing finger at Deng, but they just need Deng to come off the bench for either Nocioni or the power forward they are most likely going to draft.
They draft: Andrea Bargnani, PF, Benetton Treviso, 20 yrs.old
Why?: Bargnani has the tools to come in and produce immediately on offense. An adept shot blocker, Bargnani has the ability to become Chicago's second or third option on offense while he learns the team defense that Head Coach Scott Skiles has these Bulls playing. There are questions as to whether Bargnani has time to even workout privately for teams because the Italian playoffs stretch into the early days of June. If Benetton makes the championship, he may not be available until mid-June. NBA teams should just take into account that the playoffs are when players step up and if Bargnani can produce like he has all season, then he may even certify himself as a potential #1 pick.
Again, why would the Bulls pass up someone as electric as Thomas? Because the Bulls are in a win-now mode. They have a lot of young players, but they also are in the need of some immediate help on offense, something Thomas can't provide. Thomas is looking like he could face a bit of a downfall right now, but in drafts, it happens all the time and despite his meteoric rise, it must be remembered that only a select few were even aware of him back in November.
3. Charlotte Bobcats
Team needs: SG, guard depth, injury-free players
Reasons: The Bobcats played respectable ball when they had everyone healthy last season. They were in a lot of games, but like any young team, had difficulty closing them out. Injuries to Emeka Okafor and Sean May crippled their frontcourt, leaving Primoz Brezec as their primary go-to guy in the post. As improved as he has become, he's not a post-up player and it hurt the Bobcats that they didn't have a big SG who could make plays. Both Brevin Knight and Raymond Felton played exceptionally well at the 2, but they are not the answer. Charlotte could use a scorer to compliment Gerald Wallace on offense, which is what they will do.
They draft: Adam Morrison, SF, Gonzaga, Junior
Why?: It's either Rudy Gay or Morrison at this point. Even though Gay will most likely become a more complete player, the Bobcats need a go-to scorer in the clutch. Morrison proved time and time again that he is able to step up in close games and put a flawed Gonzaga team on his back. Drafting Morrison means that they could slide the underrated Wallace to the deuce and have him guard the better perimeter player while Morrison learns the ropes on defense by playing the weaker player. (Wallace averaged 2 and 2 in the defensive categories, only the third time it?s happened in NBA history, yet gets next to no love from the voters. Why, oh why?).
With the Bobcats, Morrison has the chance to become the focal point on offense and get the team to the playoffs for the first time in their short history, provided he stays healthy. His diabetes will play an issue because of the rigorous schedule NBA teams have to face, but Morrison is up to the task. He won't play 30 minutes immediately, so he has the chance to just score and score, which is what he will probably do. He has the potential to be one of the NBA?s best scorers, but he must show better effort on D, and not equally important, not let that increased effort gas him for the offensive end.
4. Atlanta Hawks
Team needs: PG, PF, frontcourt depth
Reasons: Everyone knows Atlanta passed on Chris Paul and the sort of mistake it was after year one. If the Hawks aren't careful with their cap from here on out, Marvin Williams just may bounce and become the players they envisioned him being for another team. GM Billy Knight has expressed love for players who are 6'7?, 6'8? or 6'9?, but a point guard in this draft is imperative for their future success. As much as I'd love to crack a joke on the Hawks drafting someone like Rudy Gay or Rodney Carney, it's just not funny to see the PG they passed up get the ROY. Deron Williams and Raymond Felton both could have also been great PG?s alongside Joe Johnson.
Atlanta is in a great situation because of the amount of cap space they have. They will most likely go after a big man this off-season, either Nene or Chris Wilcox. They will bring over David Andersen, a center who plays for CSKA Moscow in Russia, to help fill the void in the frontcourt. So with all of this in mind, the Atlanta Hawks pass up two legit swingmen. Knight finally decides to draft a position screaming in need of attention like a four year old with a lisp and $3 haircut who doesn?t get his Fruit Loops in the local grocery store.
They draft: Marcus Williams, PG, UCONN, Jr
Why?: If they pass on Williams, then the most likely point guards still by the time they pick again will be Kyle Lowry, Darius Washington and Dee Brown. No disrespect to those three, but they cannot come in, play and succeed with a group that the Hawks have on the court. Williams would have the personnel like he had at UCONN, only a better SG and more room to create. He knows what to do in any offense and has the ability to lead the Hawks back into the playoffs for the first time in a long time.
Why not Rondo? I really like Rondo and he has the potential to become a great all-around point guard, but his jump shot scares teams. He wouldn't have to shoot as much with the jump shooting Hawks, but even without a jumper, he's still a couple of years away from being a complete point on both ends of the floor. Right now, he would have the same value that Royal Ivey has for the Hawks and he can be better than that. But it's going to take time and the Hawks are running out of time. They need a winner and Williams makes the most amount of sense. If the Hawks trade down, then Rondo may be an option, but all signs point to Williams for Zaza Pachulia (he?s gotta get some love at some point in time) and co.
5. Toronto Raptors
Team needs: PG, SG/SF, C, depth
Reasons: One thing about drafting for a need is it can make you look glaringly short-sighted. When the Raptors reached and drafted Rafael Araujo, they felt he could come in and contribute immediately. As everyone knows, it takes a lot longer for bigs to develop than it does for guards. In the case of Araujo, who was not Rob Babcock's pick, it takes the right system and a lot of patience. With Araujo's bad career so far alongside Chris Bosh, the Raptors will need to fill their void with either someone like Przybilla or Nene. The depth at the 5 would be nice, but with Aldridge off the board, the Raptors are better off focusing on a SG. Joey Graham came on late in the season, but he is better off being a small but strong SF.
They draft: Brandon Roy, SG, Washington, Senior
Why?: It's either Roy or Rudy Gay at this point for the Raptors. With Roy, Toronto has one of the most young and versatile offensive players. Roy can handle point guard duties here and there, which would give Mike James, if he decides to re-sign, an opportunity to play off the ball a little more. Roy has a complete offensive game but it's not the type that would take away from any Bosh or Villanueva opportunities. He can come in and contribute right away, something Bosh wants because he wants to contend for the playoffs, just like any young superstar wants.
If they were to draft Gay, Toronto would not lose a step because Gay can play the 3 while Morris Peterson and Joey Graham split time at the 2 spot. Gay is a defensive-minded player that Sam Mitchell would love (no more Kobe 81?s), but Roy can do more offensively right away. Gay has more potential, but that doesn?t mean Roy doesn?t have any upside. In this draft, the Raptors opt for Roy.
6. Minnesota Timberwolves
Team needs: PG, SF, C, a bench
Reasons: Basically, GM Kevin McHale has butchered the team so much they need a complete overhaul, including dealing Kevin Garnett. It's unfortunate that Garnett has had to go through some pretty bad decisions and has been a man about it. But if McHale is serious about building a team around Garnett, then he must focus on players that cater to Garnett. He had the right idea about Marcus Banks, but Ricky Davis, as good of a complimentary scorer as he is, needs the ball for more than three seconds in order to put up a good shot and it hurts what Minnesota can do.
I'm not trying to sound so cynical of McHale, but he has a top-ten player in the NBA in Garnett to build around and he (Garnett) has only been out of the first round once. The finger has to be pointed somewhere, just like it is in every situation. McHale has to know that teams build through the draft and he has dealt his first round picks continuously. It also doesn't help that the Joe Smith deal was leaked and they lost three first round picks, which considerably hurt their club. Don't get me wrong, I want Garnett to succeed and want him to do it in Minny, but the time is not now for this team.
There are only two ways the Wolves can draft: for an immediate help, like Shelden Williams and Tiago Splitter, or for the future in Thomas or Gay. Minnesota has to think about the future at some point. McHale built a solid veteran team around KG when they went to the WCF just two years ago. He even said, when acquiring the pieces in Cassell and Latrell Sprewell, that the club was in a win now or else mode. But that doesn't mean trying it for just one season. They had injury issues to deal with, but not having a decent center for KG's entire tenure has hurt them just as much. And the Marko Jaric trade will go down as one of the worst moves in McHale's years as the Timberwolves' GM.
They draft: Tyrus Thomas, PF, LSU, Freshman
Why?: Minnesota has to look to the future after Garnett and having Thomas, who I feel is the #1 prospect overall, is too gifted to pass up. He has the potential to be a topnotch defensive minded power forward and the tools to be just as good on offense. He has a decent shot right now and can contribute immediately on the defensive end. Because of his athleticism, he may become an Antonio McDyess-like player: dominant until an injury occurs. If he can stay healthy for his first few years in the league, he can become a ticket seller and a player that casual fans will want to pay to see.
If Thomas is indeed drafted here, start the Garnett-to-wherever rumors. It's unfortunate that he has to leave Minnesota in order to win a ?ship, but at this point in time, it's better for both parties to separate. If the Timberwolves are able to obtain a young center in either FA on in a future draft to pair along with Thomas, the Timberwolves have a chance to become a potential playoff contender. They would battle the Blazers behind Thomas' energy on both ends of the floor for many years to come.
Why did Thomas fall so far if he's rated so high? Lottery teams look to the future as well as hope these kids can contribute in the upcoming season. Right now, Thomas does not have the offense to be considered a #2 or even #3 option. He has a decent jumper, but his post up game will be hurting immediately because of the lack of muscle he has on his frame. He's probably working out like crazy preparing for teams to take a look at him, but a free fall like this from a projected #1 pick is not far fetched depending on Tuesday?s lottery.
7. Boston Celtics
Team needs: PG, C
Reasons: Delonte West really stepped up his game this season, but for some unknown reason, Head Coach Doc Rivers liked playing Orien Greene enough to disrupt how West ran the point. West is not a natural point guard, so there are some situations where he can't succeed, such as making a quick decision coming down on the break. He improved, but can be turnover prone. Same with Greene. They would like a pure point guard, one that is completely unselfish so Paul Pierce can get his touches.
They could also use a big body. Raef LaFrentz's knees aren't getting any younger and some fans are a bit upset that Al Jefferson didn't have a higher learning curve in his second season. It takes big men longer to develop. And he had some injury issues, which led to his sophomore slump. Kendrick Perkins came on in the second half of the season, but he won?t ever be a productive scorer. So, they could also use an established power forward/center. One who has been in winning situations on many different levels of basketball.
They draft: Tiago Splitter, PF/C, Tau Ceramica/Vitoria, 21 yrs. Old
Why?: A lot of people aren't high on Splitter. One of the few games he was on American TV was in the Euroleague Semifinal against Maccabi tel Aviv, where he hurt his shoulder. It definitely wasn't his best game and it left many skeptical of him, only accelerating the fact that most of the European big men have not had a lot of success. Lucky for Splitter, he's Brazilian.
Splitter has more offense than people give him credit for. He has solid footwork on both ends of the floor and knows how set systems work. He's been playing fundamental basketball his whole life. He can play defense in the post as well as be an exceptional weak side defender. His buyout is a big question and if Boston does not want to wait for Splitter, they may be better off going another route. A combo guard like Ronnie Brewer could be a possibility here. If Splitter is picked up here, don't be surprised to see him in a Celtic uniform next season. He has a lot of potential to be a very good 4/5.
8. Houston Rockets
Team needs: PF/C, depth on bench
Reasons: With Houston, it was injuries that sank their battleship. They had to sign two undrafted rookie free agents just to help them make it through last season. When Yao Ming came back, everyone, including an injured Tracy McGrady, saw what Houston has to look forward to next season. Juwan Howard isn't getting any younger and they could use a power forward/center to help Yao out on defense and open up more offensive opportunities.
An unlikely route could be going for the best available player, pending on who drops this far. Also, they are rumored to go after a guard in the draft, someone like JJ Redick, but the way Mike James was talking about Houston in the past few days, they might not even have to go that route. In this slot, a team need isn't filled, but Houston get potentially the best player out of this year's SFT.
They draft: Rudy Gay, SF, UCONN, So
Why?: Gay is too special to pass up. A player with the potential to be the best player out of this draft rarely falls this far (re: Villanueva at 7 by Toronto in 2005). Luckily for the Rockets, he might. He could easily be drafted by Minnesota and Thomas or Splitter could fall this far. But with Gay slipping, it opens up a lot of options for the Rockets on both sides of the ball.
Gay tended to disappear a lot last season, but when he was on, everyone saw how special he could be. An athletic freak on both ends of the court, Gay has the potential to be an All-NBA defender as well as a perennial All-Star. But that is potential. If the Rockets drafted him, he could be eased into an offensive role-playing alongside Yao and McGrady. On top of that, if Houston were to sign James in free agency, it gives them a big starting lineup and Gay would most likely be the first player off the bench and first in a starting role if James, Alston or McGrady are injured. He can play alongside both James and McGrady and it wouldn?t be a problem for anyone on the floor.
9. Golden State Warriors
Team needs: C, different personnel, SF
Reasons: Everything went bad for Golden State last year. Baron Davis could not avoid injuries. Troy Murphy could not avoid the 3-point line. Adonal Foyle could not avoid foul trouble. Jason Richardson could not avoid being a great player on a bad team. A fastbreak team has to rebound, but Head Coach Mike Montgomery has not made things any simpler. It can be everyone's fault in one way or another, but all signs point to a complete reshuffle of the organization and it begins in the draft.
They will most likely go after a center because Foyle played poorly all season and Andris Biedrins, as much as I like him, is still a few more years away from being a solid rebounder and pick & roll player, a center they were trying to mold him into. Another option is small forward, which would mean the end of the Mickael Pietrus-era in Golden State. There wasn't ever one, but for a former Lottery pick, things went south fast, as the defensive minded play he showed under Eric Musselman disappeared with Monty. Lucky for him, there are options out there, including the Logo in Memphis that has always coveted him.
They draft: Patrick O'Bryant, C, Bradley, So
Why?: In this situation, the Warriors need a future center to go along with Biedrins and Ike Diogu. O'Bryant has the tools to be an effective starter and showed the fact that, at just 19, he can play against NBA caliber centers. Most centers aren't athletically gifted like O'Bryant and this will only benefit him in the future. He still has a lot of growing to do, but he has the potential to be a solid all-around center in the NBA. Think Chris Mihm but better sooner.
Another option here would be the high-flying Rodney Carney. If Carney were selected here, it would not only mean the end of Pietrus but J-Rich as well. Why J-Rich? He is one of three Warriors that they can get a lot in return. The other two being, and this is just my opinion, Diogu and Monta Ellis, two of their rookies from last season. Richardson should not be expendable, but if they want a complete shakeup, why not start with your cornerstone like so many teams seem to do?
10. Seattle Supersonics
Team needs: PF/C, SF, depth
Reasons: The Sonics are loaded with young talent, but it's the talent that failed to mesh under former Head Coach Bob Weiss and under current Head Coach Bob Hill. They have a lot of young player who need a chance, but a team needs the right mix of veterans and young guns. Danny Fortson and Robert Swift do not make a decent frontcourt. They found their gem in Chris Wilcox, who fits their running system perfectly, but if teams like Atlanta offers him the max. Will they match? They have said they had, but drafting a big for insurance is very possible.
Another route they could go is for someone that can play multiple positions on the wing. With Mickael Gelabale, their second round pick from last season, coming over, the Sonics could use a little more versatility. If they draft someone like Carney or Ronnie Brewer, it would mean the end of Rashard Lewis. Lewis, a former All-Star, regressed somewhat last season. Maybe it was the fact that he has not been the same since a past knee injury. Whatever the case is, he was not the same player that netted an All-Star selection. He wants to have more of an established role on offense, which means doing more than posting up and shooting 3s. Do not be surprised to hear his name being called if a trade occurs. Actually, be surprised. I will, unless he gets dealt to New York.
At this point for Seattle, it?s either Brewer or Shelden Williams.
They draft: Ronnie Brewer, SG/SF/PG, Arkansas, Jr
Why?: Brewer has the versatility to play multiple positions. He can play alongside Ray Allen as Seattle?s point guard as well as their small forward. His future may be at shooting guard, but a shooting guard actually has to be able to shoot, which is Brewer's biggest weakness. If Seattle drafts him, Hill would have a lot of options coming off the bench. Brewer has a lot of potential because of how good he is at everything else. He's a solid defender and underrated passer. He can become a major player in Seattle, but everything has to fall in place in order for that to happen.
Another very viable option is Williams. He is the type of power forward/center that compliments what Seattle likes to do on the perimeter. He won?t take any shots away from any of the guards or small forwards. He can rebound their missed shots and make sure everyone that attempts to drive the lane, when he?s on defense has a hard time doing so. But with the emergence of the two young centers, Johan Petro and Robert Swift, as well as Nick Collison at the four, Williams would have a hard time immediately cracking the rotation. Can?t forget about Wilcox getting 30+ minutes each game, either.
If anyone were to trade out of this draft, it would be Seattle. There are a few players who could help them out next year, but they have too many young players to give playing time to another one. Another rookie would only make matters worse, depending on who is available. Splitter would be great here because they have the front court depth to take him not being able to play for a year. In any case, if Brewer is available, Seattle could take him and groom him to be a big lift off the bench on both ends of the floor.
11. Orlando Magic
Team needs: Big SG, PF/C depth
Reasons: Orlando is shaping up to be the team everyone will pick to make the playoffs next season. Unlike guard-loaded Golden State, who went on a surge in '04-'05, they have Dwight Howard to build around. They have a lot of players in place to give them a legitimate team next year. With or without Grant Hill, this Magic squad is looking very good. They obtained young players who can become major role players in Trevor Ariza, Carlos Arroyo and everyone's favorite Human Victory Cigar, Darko Milicic.
The need is a shooting guard. DeShawn Stevenson, if he opts out, will most likely be coming off the bench for the rest of his NBA career. He just could not get it together enough on offense to help the Magic when they needed it. A shooter and slasher is a possibility, although they have a sleeper in Ariza, who, if he can develop a more consistent jumper, can become the Most Improved Player because he has everything else he needs to succeed. Everyone seems to forget he would have just been a junior at UCLA this past season. Regardless, the Magic want to avoid a Vazquez debacle and will most likely go after a local product, as in American, as in.
They draft: Rodney Carney, SG/SF, Memphis, Sr
Why?: Although Ariza could be an answer, getting a late-bloomer like Carney where the Magic are at is too much to pass up. He has the range on his jump shot to be an instant 3-point threat, as long as he doesn't hang on the perimeter too much. Playing alongside both Howard and Milicic gives him more options to do what he can do on offense. With Howard, he can stay on the perimeter. With Milicic, he has more room to go inside for a drive, alley-oop or an offensive put back. As long as he doesn't coast like he did at Memphis, he has the chance to become the future 2/3 alongside Howard for years to come.
12. New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Team needs: SG/SF (scorer), PF, C
Reasons: The overachieving Hornets, led by Chris Paul, had everything but offense in their stretch of losses after the All-Star Break. They had an abundance of swingmen, but injuries and J.R. Smith's demoted role with the team suggest that the Hornets may go that way with one of their two first round picks. Desmond Mason will be entering a contract year, so a small forward is a possibility. They definitely need the help in the frontcourt, but with the amount of cap room they have this off-season, they may just go after someone who won't take away from a guard?s or David West?s offensive touches, like Nazr Mohammed or Przybilla. Speedy Claxton may be bouncing as a free agent, so NOK might look to replace his scoring off the bench. It just so happens a big scoring guard is still available.
They draft: Randy Foye, SG, Villanova, Sr
Why?: With Foye, Head Coach Byron Scott has some options. He can go fast and small with Paul, Foye and Kirk Snyder. He can go big with Foye and Snyder, although this lineup would be for a couple of stretches of games. Foye has the ability to score from anywhere on the court. The smaller Diaz and Quincy Douby only match his shot and ability to get by his man. Foye has proven time and time again that he can score. He may be a bit short for the shooting guard, but with the recent influx of smaller shooting guards coming into the NBA, Foye doesn't have as many mismatches as he would have had ten years ago.
He will be brought in to score and has a lot of potential to be a great all-around scorer despite being 22 years old, older than most of the players who are considered to have the most potential. New Orleans would be a very nice fit for him and it gives him the chance to work with a former shooting guard who knows how to win in Scott.
13. Philadelphia 76ers
Team needs: PG, PF
Reasons: Philly just missed the playoffs last season and it won't sit well with anyone. Even though either Miami or Detroit would have swept them, it is still the fact that they had the chance to be in the playoffs and missed out. Even though both Allen Iverson and Chris Webber led the offense, they made a huge mistake not getting Andre Iguodala more than ten shots, including trips to the free throw line, per game. If the Sixers want any sort of chance to become the prominent team they were back in 2001, they need to build around Iverson by putting defenders in the lineup, giving both him and Iguodala more touches on offense. They would have liked Ronnie Brewer here to compliment Iverson. Since he will likely be drafted earlier, it leaves them with a couple of options: either Mardy Collins, a local product who fits the system very well, or Shelden Williams, a bruising 4/5 who won't take any touches away from Iverson or Iguodala.
They draft: Shelden Williams, PF/C, Duke, Sr.
Why?: Collins would be a great fit here because he's unselfish and can shoot if needed. But they take Williams because they need the help on the glass. Williams' former teammate, Shavlik Randolph, is an underrated rebounder, but he will never get the playing time behind Webber. Williams, on the other hand, can provide a blow for either Webber or Dalembert and the Sixers wouldn't lose one way or the other. If he comes in for Webber, it means more touches for both AIs. If he comes in for Dalembert, it means they have their go-to rebounder who can guard opposing centers.
He may be undersized, but playing in the East will only help his cause to become an effective role player. He hasn't proven himself against bigger opposition, so if he's going up against a bigger center like Brezec or Andrew Bogut, it could cause him some problems. But he will be a good 4/5 off the bench and will fill the defensive role that is desperately needed in Philly.
14. Utah Jazz
Team needs: SG, PF/C
Reasons: When Utah puts out their lineup, they have four potential All-Stars in Deron Williams, Andrei Kirilenko, Carlos Boozer and Mehmet Okur. The one glaring position they need to fill is shooting guard. Even though they drafted CJ Miles last year, he is still a couple of years away from being the shooter they want him to be. Gordan Giricek is not an all-around player and his injuries have taken a toll on his body over the past couple of seasons. Utah could also use a backup 4/5 to help Boozer and Okur. Kirilenko could play the 4, but that would mean Okur would be getting way too many minutes over the season at the 5. Depending on who's here, the Jazz will dictate whom they will go after in free agency. After looking at who's available, they would go after a center in free agency.
They draft: Mardy Collins, SG/PG, Temple, Sr
Why?: Collins is the type of unselfish player Head Coach Jerry Sloan likes. He knows what to do on the court and knows where everyone needs to be. He compliments Williams because both of them can bring the ball down the court and initiate the offense. He has the ability to play down low against a smaller guard, letting Kirilenko and Okur hang out on the perimeter for better looks. He has the ability to play outside, giving Williams and the frontcourt the space they need in the middle.
One of his biggest weaknesses is he projects as a role player and does not have the potential to be a go-to guy in the NBA. The Jazz are the perfect fit for him because he doesn't need to be the go-to guy on either side of the ball. He just needs to knock down his open jumpers and make sure everyone is supposed to be where they are supposed to be. I'll say this about Collins: if he's there and the Jazz drafts him, they are headed back to the playoffs. He can do that much for Utah.
15. New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets (via Milwaukee Bucks )
Team needs: SG/SF (scorer), PF, C
Reasons: After drafting a scorer at #12, the Hornets will most likely go after the next best big man. They can still obtain one in free agency, but drafting a player with a lot of potential to play the 4 or 5 is very likely. They could use a shot blocker after the suspension of Chris Andersen and the rescinded trade of Steven Hunter for two second round picks. It would also help to have someone who knows the Princeton offense that Scott runs. Even if he doesn't excel in it, it helps to add someone who at least knows it. Lucky for Paul and company, there's a sophomore out of Paul?s home state who fits all of that criteria.
They draft: Cedric Simmons, PF/C, NC State, So
Why?: With the drafting of Foye, Simmons makes it a great first round for the Hornets. He still has some room to improve, including adding offense outside of ten feet, but his 7'4? wingspan will be a welcome addition to a tough defensive-minded team. Simmons is the type of player who excels in the open court and mostly gets his points off dunks and offensive put backs. He made a lot of strides throughout the season, including a crushing of Shelden Williams in one of their match-ups. He had a career-high 28 points, nine rebounds and whopping seven blocks against the 4/5 who will most likely be drafted in front of him, pending he stay in the draft.
Simmons' status in the draft is a little shaky because of N.C. State?s hiring of Sidney Lowe, an assistant on the Detroit Pistons . Simmons is a first round pick right now, but under a changing offense and a coach who has worked personally with two of the best defensive bigs in the NBA, Ben and Rasheed Wallace, Simmons could improve his stock to becoming a Top-5 pick next year. He still has until June 18th to withdraw, but if he stays in, New Orleans would not hesitate to draft a kid who has the potential to be one of the league's best shot blockers and play with Paul and West for years.
16. Chicago Bulls
Team needs: PF, Big SG
Reasons: With the Bulls drafting Bargnani, they may go after a shooting guard to compliment both Gordon and Hinrich. Rudy Fernandez is a possibility here, but the Bulls may feel differently. They already had a lot of scoring in the backcourt in that Bulls-Heat series, and with a shot-blocking big man available, they opt to go that route.
They draft: Hilton Armstrong, C, UCONN, Sr
Why?: Armstrong always had the tools to be an effective player but never quite turned it on until last season. He may be a bit skinny, but he has the muscle in his frame to contend in the post and the ability to block shots, something Chicago could use once Tyson Chandler is out of the game. He doesn't have a lot to bring to the table offensively, but if he were in there with Hinrich, Gordon, Nocioni and Bargnani, he wouldn't have to. He'd just make sure he sets some good picks, get blocks and rebounds on both ends of the floor, which he is very capable of doing.
17. Indiana Pacers
Team needs: SG, SF, C.
Reasons: The Pacers lost a lot of defense on the perimeter when Ron Artest was traded. They may even lose Stoyo to free agency, although they appear prepared to re-sign him. Regardless of whether or not they re-sign him, another guard or big man is a need Indiana needs to fill. If they let Fred Jones go, which would be a mistake, they would need to add someone who can fill the scoring void if Stoyo and Jones leave.
As much as they need a guard who can shoot, they need a big man to compliment Jermaine O'Neal even more. David Harrison is coming along, but slowly. Scot Pollard is gone. Jeff Foster, as tough as he is, needs to do more on offense and rarely does. They need an all-around type center to compliment O'Neal. Someone like that may be available in free agency, but there is not one worth taking where they pick. A point guard is also a possibility, but their three point guards all have over two years left on their deal before next season starts, so any point guard would not get much playing time.
They draft: J.J. Redick, SG, Duke, Sr
Why?: If Stojakovic leaves, there's a glaring need for a shooter to hang out on the perimeter and take passes from O'Neal double teams. Redick is that type of player. He can shoot the rock from anywhere on the court but can do little else. If he can hold his own on the defensive end, then he may be able to get a lot of minutes, but he will mostly be used as a spot up shooter because of his lack of being able to drive against NBA caliber defenders and his size. He's a hard worker and won't ever give up, which is something Head Coach Rick Carlisle will like immediately.
At one point, Redick was considered a Top 10 pick because of his outstanding play at Duke. But being able to only shoot can get you so far. He must show that he can do more than shoot if he wants to get a lot of playing time with a team. He will have a long career because of the fact he can hit the NBA 3 at a high percentage, but if he's not hitting his shot, he's not playing. It's either a Jon Barry-type career or a Trajan Langdon-type career for Redick. Hopefully, it's the former.
18. Washington Wizards
Team needs: Big PG/SG, PF, C
Reasons: In the playoffs, Washington struggled in the frontcourt. They had Antawn Jamison, who was hot and cold, but other than him, no one else. They need another player who can do more than what Brendan Haywood is capable of providing. For Washington, another frontcourt player is needed and because they are over the cap, they cannot go after a game-changing center like Przybilla. A guard is possible, maybe a combo guard like Brewer or Collins, but neither of those two will be there. They also have their rookie free agent returning next season in Donell Taylor. He had a fairly decent season and showed glimpses that he could play with the up-tempo Gilbert Arenas. So a big man is more likely.
They draft: Josh Boone, PF/C, UCONN, Jr
Why?: Washington has a couple of projects in Andray Blatche and Peter John Ramos. If they pan out, they could help the Wizards a lot, but they are still a couple of years away from doing so. Boone fills a need that can get the team running: rebounding. They were a decent rebounding team last season, finishing 15th in the NBA, but just 11th out of the 16 teams that were in the playoffs. Boone can fill that void and run with Arenas and Antonio Daniels. He won't take anything away offensively but he can contribute on the inside. He's a hard worker and will fight for a rebound on both ends of the floor. He doesn't have much of an outside game, but playing alongside Jamison gives him more opportunities to score on the inside.
Boone, if selected here, can help the Wizards rebound and get out on the break. He's from a winning program and still has a lot of room to improve. If he can develop more of an outside game while maintaining the frantic pace he rebounds the ball, he has a good chance to help push the Wizards into the Eastern Conference Semis each year.
19. Sacramento Kings
Team needs: PG/SG, C
Reasons: With the addition of Ron Artest, Sacramento immediately became a physical team instead of a finesse team. They still have Brad Miller and Mike Bibby, two of the best at their positions, but they were the two players who had the hardest time adjusting to both Artest and Bonzi Wells' increase in shot attempts. It's not a factor going into the season, but they could use a little more help at each position to give both players a rest for the playoff push. There are a couple of prospects who can fit the bill, but there is one player who can make sure the Kings don't lose any scoring punch off the bench.
They draft: Quincy Douby, PG/SG, Rutgers, Jr
Why?: If Wells leaves, they have Kevin Martin as their starting shooting guard, but they would lose a lot of scoring off the bench. Douby can fill that Bobby Jackson-like role off the bench. He can shoot it from anywhere on the floor and possesses the ability to play the point, something he wasn't able to do much of at Rutgers, who needed his scoring more than anything else. He has a thin frame but the type that can add on 15 pounds without losing any quickness. There are rumors that he may even go in the Lottery and I wouldn't be surprised that, come draft day, he is selected in that area. But he needs to prove to teams in workouts and against players of his caliber that he can play the point. If he can do this, he may not be there when Sacramento picks. Lucky for them, he is and helps them in a battle with Phoenix for the Pacific Division title next season.
20. New York Knicks (via Toronto via Denver)
Team needs: New PG, SF, rebounder at any position
Reasons: As much as I'd like to write about how bad the Knicks were last season, there isn't anything I can say that hasn't already been said. Well, actually, there is. If the Knicks would've played Jackie Butler in the minutes they gave to Jerome James, there would be a little bit of a difference in the win total. Not much, maybe just a couple of games, but the kid can play.
With that said, the Knicks will be looking to this draft for the future. For some reason, the New York media and Head Coach Larry Brown did not realize that Isiah Thomas wanted to rebuild instead of win now. This Knicks roster was not made to win now and Brown coaxed the worst lineups he could. With the rise of free agent Qyntel Woods, the Knicks may opt to go for projects instead of players who can play now. But knowing Thomas, he will be able to find the talent who can do both.
They draft: Rudy Fernandez, SG, DKV Joventut, 21 yrs. old.
Why?: Thomas could easily draft someone like Saer Sene (more on him later) and shake the bottom of the draft up. But he needs results and Fernandez is the type of consistent player who can get it done. David Lee, who started at small forward during their amazing 6-game winning streak, is more of a power forward. Fernandez can play either the 2 or 3 and can D up better than people give him credit for. He will need to hit the weights but can be effective off the bench.
One problem with New York drafting a foreign player is the last guy they took from Europe, Fred Weis, who is currently sucking it up for Lagun Aro Bilbao in Spain, never played a game for the Knicks. The player drafted after him, Ron Artest, is still in the NBA. Knick fans don't want a Vazquez or Weis situation and will let Fernandez know of it if they draft him. He may have a hard time adjusting immediately to the culture and the language, but he's a quick learner and can be a success when the Knicks utilize the fast, athletic lineup that Thomas is trying to create.
21. Phoenix Suns (via L.A. Lakers )
Team needs: PG, big SG/SF, C
Reasons: The Suns, once again, overachieved this season. They are on the brink of making it to the Western Conference Finals by playing four small forwards in their frontcourt and Raja Bell, at times, at the 3. The team was considered deep coming into the season but was hit hard by injuries to Amare Stoudemire, Kurt Thomas, Brian Grant, James Jones and Steve Nash. Unfortunately, it's been that type of year for the Suns.
They are tired and need a couple more players who could help give the veterans a rest heading into the late stretches of the season. A backup point guard is an absolute. They would love to trade up for Marcus Williams, but it's not likely. They also need a big body to help in the middle. They miss Steven Hunter's shot blocking but don't miss his stone hands. A seven footer would be nice here, depending on whether or not they are pushing for the future or present.
They draft: Guillermo Diaz, PG/SG, Miami, Jr
Why?: There are a lot of options here with the Suns. They could draft someone like Rajon Rondo, a defensive minded point who can't and doesn't need to shoot with the lineup Phoenix puts on the court. They could go with Sergio Rodriguez, who some consider the Spanish version of Nash. He has the handles, passing awareness and ability to get out on the break like Nash, but does not have his shot. They could also go with Jordan Farmar, a floor general to the fullest extent that loves to push the tempo. They could even go big and draft a project like Sene and hope he turns into Hunter with basketball hands. But they opt for Diaz.
Why Diaz? He can score from anywhere on the court and has the ability to get by his man. If they draft Diaz, they are looking for him to be a Barbosa-like scorer off the bench except he will produce more shots for other players. He is a solid distributor, but was not able to show it at Miami playing alongside two guards. If he can show the ability to knock down his jumpers as well as the ability to pass the ball off the drive, he can find a future home alongside STAT. His knee will worry teams, but he's the type of player who won't let that affect him. And that's the type of player the Suns want to see on the court.
22. New Jersey Nets (via L.A. Clippers )
Team needs: PG, PF, bench
Reasons: New Jersey, overachieved perhaps even more than the Suns, got 50 wins with 3 great players, an up and coming center in Nenad Krstic and no bench to speak of. They miss Kenyon Martin more than anyone will ever admit. They would love to have him back, but they don't have the personnel that can get him via trade. They will look for a power forward in both this draft and in free agency and should also look for a point guard that can give Jason Kidd some rest.
They draft: Sergio Rodriguez, PG, Adecco Estudiantes, 20 yrs. old
Why?: Rodriguez has the ability to get out on the break, make the right play and add some flash to each move in the process. He's the type of kid who can be a big-ticket seller even though he's from Spain. He has a shaky shot, but at the same time, Kidd has shot over 43% just once in his career and he's a Hall of Famer.
If the Nets draft Rodriguez, he gives them a future point guard to play alongside Richard Jefferson and learn from one of the best in Kidd. He must improve his man-to-man defense, shot and the fact that he has very little muscle on his body. If he can come in and contribute 15 minutes of steady play for New Jersey, Nets fans are looking at their future point guard.
23. New Jersey Nets
Team needs: PG, PF, bench
Reasons: Last year, the player they would have loved to take, Ike Diogu, was selected at #9 by the Warriors. Sean May, who could have also been a nice fit in the Princeton offense, was taken by Charlotte two picks prior to the Nets. They selected the best player available in Antoine Wright. If they go with a point man at 22, like I predict they'll do here with Rodriguez, then they will go after a rebounding power forward with their next pick. In that case, why not go with the only player to ever lead the NCAA in rebounding for three straight seasons?
They draft: Paul Millsap, PF, LA Tech, Jr
Why?: Millsap is a small but bruising power forward. Listed at 6'8", he's more along the lines of 6'7", which is very small for a power forward by NBA standards. But he can rebound and it shows up in the numbers, he simply won't take no for an answer on the glass. He's a great offensive rebounder and is the type of power forward who can collect the ball when Kidd, Jefferson and Vince Carter take excessive shots. He's a bit limited offensively, but he can run the pick & roll with all three. He has an underrated mid range jumper and has the ability to shoot from 18 feet out. He will have a hard time in the post trying to block shots against bigger players, but as long as he rebounds, New Jersey is set at the 4 with Millsap.
24. Memphis Grizzlies
Team needs: PG (for future), SG/SF C
Reasons: Memphis, making it to the playoffs as the highest seed in their short history, still has not won a playoff game. They saw an amazing awakening of Jake Tsakelidis, but he fell back asleep in the playoffs against the Mavericks. Lorenzen Wright is a free agent, so a center is a big need to play alongside Pau Gasol, unless they go with him at the 5 and force teams to go small with them. Even though they have Damon Stoudamire for another few seasons, they will need to add a point guard who can run the team and handle his own on both ends of the floor. They could also use a player who knows how to score. Mike Miller was great last season, but he was more of a jump shooter than a slasher. Eddie Jones still can play, but the Grizzlies need Eddie Jones at 25, not 35.
They draft: Jordan Farmar, PG, UCLA, So
Why?: Farmar is the perfect fit for the Grizzlies. He's a natural leader and, if he doesn't go back to school, can learn from Stoudamire on how to run a team from another perspective. He has the defense to play immediately, even though he looks smaller than he actually is. He needs to show teams that his shot selection is better than it was at UCLA. Playing for Memphis would give Farmar the chance to slowly progress into an offense that doesn't feature the point guard. If he shows that he can have good shot selection when he's bringing up the ball, he has the chance to play alongside Gasol for years to come.
25. Cleveland Cavaliers
Team needs: PG, PF/C depth
Reasons: To no one's surprise, Cleveland is officially LeBron James' team, but they still have some issues to work out. At point guard, they have a shooter who can't do much else in Damon Jones. They have a floor general that can play defense but not much else in Eric Snow. Other than those two, the Cavaliers are looking pretty grim at the point. They could use a combo of the two, but also a playmaker who can ease the pressure for James during the second and third quarters of games.
They could also use some Drew Gooden insurance in case he decides to bounce to the highest bidder like Boozer did. There are some decent power forwards who could make space for James in the middle, including Nick Fazekas and Paul Davis. Also, Zydrunas Ilgauskas is not getting any younger, but they are grooming Anderson Varejao as their future center. They will look to add a veteran center in free agency, but do not count out GM Danny Ferry adding another young center, depending on who is available when they select their pick.
They draft: Rajon Rondo, PG, Kentucky, So.
Why?: Players with the talent and abilities that Rondo has often do not fall down this far in any given draft, let alone a weak one such as this. Why would Rondo, who I feel is the #1 point guard in the draft, fall this far? His jumper. It will allow teams to keep him honest and they won't let him drive until he can prove his jumper is worth guarding. And after watching him in their last game against The University of Connecticut, it's still a couple of years away, which will scare teams off. But going to Cleveland is the perfect situation for him.
Rondo is best with the ball in his hands, which can be bad playing alongside James, who also likes having the ball in his hands. But both can compliment each other by making sure the other has a decent chance at getting a high percentage shot. Rondo has the defense and athleticism to be an all-around great point guard, but he must show that his jumper won't affect him as much as teams fear it will. If he is playing alongside James, he has the chance to grow offensively and not be a threat to Cleveland's offensive success. He has some of the biggest upside in this entire draft and can fulfill it by simply developing a consistent jump shot. A tandem of Rondo and James would give teams fits on both ends of the court.
26. L.A. Lakers (via Miami Heat )
Team needs: PG, SF, C.
Reasons: The Lakers were up 3-1 on the Suns but could not close it out. They simply could not make their shots. In Game 7, only Kobe Bryant shot at least 50%. Everyone else shot under 42%. Even though Smush Parker was great in the regular season, they may look for another point guard. If there's someone like Rondo is on the board, the Lakers may look to him. But they may address the PG issue in free agency by making runs at Sam Cassell and Jason Terry. They could also use some help in the frontcourt. It's still early in his career, but Kwame Brown was still inconsistent as ever, Chris Mihm was injured for most of the season and Andrew Bynum is a few years away. A big hole they could fill is at the 3. Yes, they have Lamar Odom, but there is a young 3 who has the potential to be very, very good.
They draft: Shawne Williams, SF, Memphis, Fr.
Why?: Williams possesses the ability to score from both outside and in, but lacked the consistency last season to garnish any lottery aspirations he wanted by declaring. He has Lottery talent, but would be better off staying one more year at Memphis. If he stays in the draft, the Lakers could have him develop into the small forward they would like to start alongside Bynum in the future. He must improve defensively and show teams that his performance against Adam Morrison wasn't a fluke. If he can do that, L.A. can let him sit for a couple of years and let him develop into the player he's capable of being: a scoring and all-around talent who has the potential to be an All-Star.
27. Phoenix Suns
Team needs: PG, big SG/SF, C
Reasons: With the Suns going for help in the backcourt, they will probably look for help in the frontcourt. There are a number of players that could come in and contribute immediately and have the same effect in a few years as they would now. They could use a rebounder to help ease the fact only Shawn Marion showed up consistently on the glass. With Diaz added, Phoenix will look for someone who can do more than he did in college.
They draft: Alexander Johnson, PF, Florida St., Jr
Why?: Johnson has shown that he's athletic enough to compete in the NBA, but it has always been about consistency. In those 15 games, he showed the aggressiveness needed to play in the NBA, but can he prove that his outstanding traits (39" vert) are for real? He can come in and give Stoudemire and Thomas some rest if needed while he's eased into the role of shot-blocker and rebounder.
He may be a poor man's Stoudemire, but better to be like someone you're going into the lineup for than someone not fit for the type of system Head Coach Mike D'Antoni runs. If he can show teams his game isn't purely athleticism, then he has the chance to crack the first round as well as be another big man Phoenix can run with off the bench.
28. Dallas Mavericks
Team needs: PF behind Dirk, PG, C
Reasons: Dallas is on a tear this year and may even be the NBA Champions before this year's SFT occurs. The Mavericks do have some holes to fill, but not many. They would like someone to come in for Dirk without losing any of the production that goes to the bench with him. It's easier said than done, but with Keith Van Horn becoming a free agent, a shooter like Novak is a possibility here. They could also go for a point guard to back up Devin Harris and for Jason Terry insurance. An offensive minded center is also a possibility to compliment Erick Dampier and Desagna Diop. But at this position, it's better to go for BPA.
They draft: Maurice Ager, SG, Michigan State, Sr
Why?: Ager has the tools to be a defensive stopper and a gunner on offense, something Head Coach Avery Johnson will like. Ager won't get as many touches on offense as he did at Michigan State. In the touches he does get, he must show that he will not immediately shoot it. He can drive it and create space for someone like Josh Howard or Nowitzki. He would mostly be used for his defense and as long as he's playing within himself, he can become quite the complimentary player to Nowitzki and Howard.
Paul Davis also comes to mind here, but if Dallas has to go after a PG in case Terry leaves. But Ager has too much talent to pass up. He has the potential to be a player who can be a big lift off the bench and a possible starter alongside Devin Harris, who is due.
29. New York Knicks (via S.A. Spurs)
Team needs: New PG, SF, rebounder at any position.
Reasons: With the drafting of Fernandez, Thomas will most likely go after a project because the Knicks don't have a lot of room to give another young player playing time. There is a rising player who Thomas may go after. He's a legit seven footer, young and has a huge wingspan, which was reportedly measured at 7'8".
They draft: Saer Sene, C, RBC Veviers-Pepinster, 20 yrs. old.
Why?: This is a nothing-to-lose pick at this spot in the draft. The Knicks could develop Sene into the shot blocker Brown craves, although Brown may not be there by the time Sene develops into the player he's capable of being. I haven't seen him play, so I can't say what he can and can't do, but just from seeing what he's been doing in Belgium with more playing time, he has the potential to be a solid defensive-minded center, something the Knicks have been craving since Patrick Ewing was sent away for the likes of Vernon Maxwell and Travis Knight. He has a lot of questions to answer and I will see if I can find those answers when I visit the Reebok Eurocamp in Treviso, Italy.
30. Portland Trailblazers (via Detroit)
Team needs: PF/C, more experience off bench.
Reasons: With the drafting of Aldridge, they find their centerpiece, but still have two picks left. One now and another with the first pick of the second round. They could go for another frontcourt player here. They could go for the BPA, whoever they feel that may be. But by the end of the draft, Portland will probably not be holding each of their first round picks. Let's say they don't trade and they are looking for someone to add here. Paul Davis could compliment Aldridge well, but they have Randolph, so the Blazers just go for a solid rebounder.
They draft: PJ Tucker, SG/SF/PF, Texas, Ju.
Why?: Tucker has the ability to rebound anywhere on the floor. He's undersized for a power forward and probably won't be as great as Charles Barkley, but if that's the player Tucker is compared to, he will be a safe pick at this spot. Tucker was too much of a one-on-one player on offense and he won't be allowed to pass up shots for Aldridge like he did at Texas. The duo of Aldridge and Tucker give Portland two players who know each other and chemistry on the basketball court is key for a team to succeed. If Tucker can show teams some unselfishness with the ball to go along with his selfishness for the rebound, he has a chance at cracking the first round. And Portland could certainly use a go-to rebounder.
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