Marquette and USC have more than a 70 percent chance to upset 6th seeds Xavier and Georgetown, according to statistician John Ezekowitz, who works as a consultant for the Phoenix Suns.
Accounting for turnover rates, rebounding rates, and strength of schedule, Ezekowitz’s model is specifically geared towards predicting first round upsets.
Ezekowitz correctly predicted Murray State over Vanderbilt and foresaw St. Mary’s run to the Sweet 16 in last year’s tournament.