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Pacers Show Poise, Earn Split In Miami

In position to beat the Miami Heat at AmericanAirlines Arena once again, the Indiana Pacers showed poise in the final minute and finished what they couldn't just two nights earlier.

Roy Hibbert led the way with a playoff career-high 29 points and 10 rebounds and George Hill hit four clutch free throws in the final 48 seconds to break what was a tie game and seal the victory. LeBron James, who was otherworldly as usual, committed back-to-back turnovers in the final minute to taint what had been a stellar performance.

James had 36 points (14-for-20 shooting), eight rebounds, three assists and three steals, but tipped passes (one by David West and another by Hill) doomed the Heat and their superstar down the stretch. LeBron was more efficient than he was in Miami's Game 1 win, but didn't receive as much help from his teammates on Friday night.

Dwyane Wade had 14 points on 14 shots and the perimeter combination of Mario Chalmers, Norris Cole, Ray Allen and Shane Battier remained cold. The quartet shot 5-for-20, including 1-for-9 from deep. Chris Anderson, a huge contributor in Game 1, had seven points, just three rebounds and was called for five fouls.

The outcome was a perfect storm for the Pacers, who got all but five of their points from their starters and managed to contain the Heat offense by employing a modified Let-Him-Kill-Us defense. Paul George is going to look bad at times on LeBron because he's LeBron, but George did a better job of keeping LeBron in front of him and his teammates helped at all the right times.

Indiana will live with LeBron taking jump shots after watching him attack the rim on Miami's final two possessions of Game 1. They just would prefer he not beat them at the rim or that his teammates catch fire.

By my count, more than half (11) of LeBron's shot attempts came from at least 10 feet out. Nine of those came from at least 20 feet away thanks to George's ability prevent penetration. LeBron attempted (and made) six layups -- three of which were excusable. One came off a turnover in transition, another off a long rebound on a bad three-point miss by Lance Stephenson and another off an offensive rebound.

The biggest takeaway in this game was the Pacers' ability to put the negative behind them. It wouldn't have been altogether surprising if they laid an egg in Game 2 after being thisclose to stealing the first game of the series. In reality, little could change in terms of the execution on the court after 101 minutes and it would be accepted that either team was up 2-0 rather than the series be knotted heading to Indianapolis. They are going toe-to-toe with the defending and presumed champions without flinching.

Hill Returns To Form

George Hill gave the Pacers a much-needed boost after struggling offensively in Game 1. He had 18 points on 6-for-8 shooting and rebounded from three early misses at the foul line to hit the clinching shots down the stretch. He is still having issues getting the basketball down the floor when Mario Chalmers or Norris Cole pressure, but was a little better in that respect.

This was Hill's best effort since Game 4 against the New York Knicks when he had 26 points on just 14 shots in a relatively easy win. Indiana needs him to not only make shots to help space the floor, but also to be more aggressive in general. He is working through a foot issue and is still only 10 days off a concussion, but Hill has to be happy to be heading home to Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Hibbert Dominates, Pacers Win

Hibbert responded well to some controversy following Game 1 and turned in a dominant performance in the paint. He was 10-for-15 from the floor because he didn't simply chuck the ball at the basket once he established position. Hibbert instead used his size advantage to gather himself and get an even better look at the rim, often times in the form of a one-handed dunk over shorter opposition.

As he should, Frank Vogel went to West and Hibbert in the paint often. West shot the basketball poorly overall, going 2-for-9 from the field, but the duo combined to shoot 18-for-20 from the foul line. The Heat went 18-for-26 as a team.

It's impossible to ask him to do it alone, but Hibbert's production will go a long way to determining how this series plays out. He has 19 rebounds in the series, which isn't a huge number, but 13 of them have come on the offensive end. Indiana will struggle to score at times and second-change opportunities are a must. It will be interesting to see how Erik Spoelstra looks to neutralize Hibbert going forward.

Like A Bosh

If Hibbert is the key for the Pacers, Chris Bosh is Miami's most important player (not named LeBron James). He has had 17 points in both games, outproducing Dwyane Wade, and his ability to step out to the perimeter has caused Vogel to pop antacids and take Hibbert off the floor in certain situations (I'll leave it at that). He's never been a huge threat on the glass, but as we saw in Game 1 an offensive rebound every now and then can mean a lot to the Heat.

Sir Lance A Lot Tries A Lot

Stephenson has been labeled as the wild card for the Pacers since he erupted in Game 6 against the Knicks, but in reality we are going to get more of the Stephenson we saw here than the one that had 25 points and 10 rebounds on 9-for-13 shooting in a series-clinching win.

One of my favorite games to play when watching the Pacers is 'Stephenson Sequence.' There are always a handful of times during a game when you'll marvel at his amazing play and then horrible decision-making, or vice versa, within the seconds of one another. The most egregious Stephenson Sequences came in the final six minutes.

At the 5:24 mark he made a three (from the same spot he bricked a key one in Game 1) to pull the Pacers to within one after a Miami surge. Huge shot. Roughly a minute later he grabbed a defensive rebound and pushed the ball as he so often does. Instead of pulling the ball out when three Heat defenders got back, he went 1-on-3 and missed.

In a see-saw game with the score tied at 93 and 1:44 left, the Pacers had the ball. George took and missed a three, but Stephenson leaped  for and grabbed a key offensive rebound. The Pacers reset their offense, but the possession ended with Stephenson forcing the ball into the paint as Miami crowded. Chris Bosh intercepted the ball with 72 seconds remaining.

Stephenson is talented enough that he can push these Pacers to the next level. That's why the organization has stuck by him. On the other hand, if Wade doesn't miss a 10-foot jumper on the ensuing possession he might have become the scapegoat for another heart-breaking loss.

Pacers Give Away Game 1, LeBron Saves Heat

Paul George saved the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Miami Heat on Wednesday night, but Frank Vogel decided to give the game away in overtime. The Heat prevailed 103-102 in a thriller thanks to LeBron James, who scored a driving layup as time expired at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Indiana didn't play their best basketball, but George hit a prayer of a three-pointer with 0.7 seconds left in regulation to force overtime. The shot came almost ten feet behind the line on a botched offensive possession that Miami couldn't have defend better.

George, who had 18 points in the fourth quarter and overtime, then grabbed hold of the game in the extra frame. He converted a three-point play early and hit three free throws on a questionable foul call with 2.2 seconds left to give the Pacers a 102-101 advantage.

On Indiana's final two defensive possessions, Vogel took Roy Hibbert off the floor in favor of Sam Young to match up better in terms of size with the Heat. Both times LeBron got through the first level of the defense and found the rim unprotected. Both times he scored as Miami survived a scare at home.

This game was one of the best of the postseason thus far and hopefully is a sign of things to come throughout the series, but it's hard not to harp on Vogel's decisions in the final moments.

Wednesday night wasn't the first time Vogel overcoached down the stretch in these playoffs. He took Hibbert off the floor late at times in the New York series, but the Knicks aren't the Heat and they didn't take advantage of the misplay.

Hibbert is one of the game's best rim protectors -- you could argue he's the best -- and LeBron and Dwyane Wade love to attack the basket. He's been touted by many as the key to this series because of the significant size advantage he has over Miami's bigs and his improved defense on penetration. He anchored what was statistically either the best or second-best defense in the NBA in the regular season. Hibbert finished tenth in voting for the Defensive Player of the Year last month.

To put it simply: Roy Hibbert is one of the best defenders in the game and a prime neutralizer for guys like LeBron and Wade. Did I mention Hibbert was an All-Star last season and that he signed a huge contract last summer?

On the final possession, taking Hibbert off the floor left George exposed defensively. He overplayed LeBron on the inbounds pass and the NBA's MVP got the step he needed for an easy layup. We don't know if the referees would have swallowed their whistles (they rarely did in Game 1), but at the very least LeBron would had some resistance at the rim if Hibbert was on the floor.

Pacers Do Job At Three-Point Line

Indiana did a great job of closing out and limiting Miami's open looks from deep. They held the Heat to 5-for-18 (27.8 percent) in the game, actually eclipsing them by less than a percentage point (four makes on 28.6 percent shooting).

Only the Knicks and Rockets averaged more three-point makes than the Heat (8.7) in the regular season. They had the second-highest percentage (39.6 percent) as they value the corner three more than any team in the league.

Miami Does Enough On Glass

Even if the Pacers had pulled out a Game 1 victory, the Heat would have been happy with their rebounding performance. Indiana has all the size and statistics in their favor, but only outrebounded Miami by five. There were a ton of offensive rebounds (33 combined) and the Heat got a ton of second looks late.

Through three quarters, Indiana held a 32-22 rebounding edge. In the final 17 minutes of the game, Miami had a 16-11 advantage.

LeBron and Udonis Haslem combined for 17 rebounds, but it was Chris Andersen that did the most damage. Not exactly an offensive threat, Andersen scored 16 points on 7-for-7 shooting with all of those looks coming within feet (or seemingly inches) of the rim or on putbacks. 

Empty Backcourt

The Pacers let one slip away, but one positive takeaway is how close they were to victory despite a poor performance from the backcourt duo of George Hill and Lance Stephenson. They combined to go 4-for-19 from the field, 0-for-7 from deep, with seven turnovers. Hill doesn't look right, whether it's something lingering from last week's concussion or a possible foot injury (TNT conjecture), as he had trouble simply keeping possession of the basketball.

Stephenson was once again a monster on the glass with 12 rebounds, but didn't follow up his breakout performance from Game 6 on Saturday night with much. He airballed a three long on one play and had a quick trigger on a one in overtime with the Pacers up 99-96 and 81 seconds left. Miami grabbed two offensive rebounds on the ensuing possession and Chris Bosh tied the game with a three-point play.

If the Pacers are going to make this a long series, they'll need at least average performances from Hill and Stephenson.

George's Growing Pains

It's easy to forget that Paul George enjoyed just his 23rd birthday earlier this month, but the scope of his age and maturity was on full display in Game 1. He had two points in the first half, committed six turnovers (including an unsightly one near the end of regulation) and was abused by LeBron at times.

He also sent the game to overtime with a 32-foot three-pointer, gave the Pacers a lead in the extra period and did a respectable job on James more often than not when you consider the assignment. On LeBron's game-winning layup, he overplayed the pass and created an opening for the MVP. He had no safety valve behind him, perhaps he thought he did, but staying in front of James on the play certainly would have increased the degree of difficulty.

Paul George will be an unquestioned superstar very soon, but he's still experiencing some growing pains and they are happening on the game's biggest stage.

Win With Defense

There will be no more harping on Vogel's decision to pull Hibbert late, but the Pacers know who they are and shouldn't try to win any other way. Vogel should force Erik Spoelstra to bend to his bigger lineup rather than try to make a chess move of his own. Indiana has gotten this far by imposing their will and they did so throughout regulation. There is no reason to change the approach when the moments are magnified.

If you take a pessimistic outlook going forward, it's unlikely the Pacers can hang with the Heat in a back-and-forth game consistently. They have to lean on defensive stops, cutting down on offensive rebounds, and do all they can not to count on answering offensively as the series progresses.

There were numerous possessions in which Indiana had to counter after a Miami score and they did well in that regard. They are shooting just 42 percent in the postseason, better than only New York and Boston, and shooting 45 percent (as they did in Game 1) is certainly no guarantee.

Turnover City

As entertaining as the game was, the Pacers and Heat combined for 41 turnovers. They were virtually even in points scored off miscues (Indiana had a 22-18 edge). The Pacers have averaged 4.6 more turnovers than their opponent in the playoffs, while the Heat have committed 1.2 fewer miscues in the second season.

Indiana can't compete with Miami for long if they don't take better care of the basketball. The Heat couldn't take advantage of many of the turnovers on Wednesday night because of a number were of the dead-ball variety and Spoelstra's crew won't make as many bad decisions again in this series.

2013 NBA Amnesty Primer

As we move forward with “Amnesty 2.0” in July, we will see the fascinating possibilities that the provision brings even as the number of teams and players left dwindles with time. One fun component of the rule is that we know exactly which players are eligible for it and that number can only decrease over time since the players had to have been under contract with the same team before the new CBA. As such, any trades, extensions, or contract expirations thin out the list. 

The other thing to remember is that most of the benefit of using the amnesty provision comes from additional flexibility in terms of the salary cap- the only money savings owners get from using it come from any reduction in luxury tax payments and whatever a “winning” team bids for that player on amnesty waivers.

Atlanta Hawks

Players Eligible for amnesty: Al Horford

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: None

Most likely amnesty decision: Not use it. Since the team traded all of its long-term contracts (except Horford) and potential candidates like Zaza Pachulia’s contracts expire this summer, the only player left for Atlanta to utilize the provision on is Horford. That is beyond unlikely.

Boston Celtics

Players Eligible for amnesty: Paul Pierce, Rajon Rondo, Avery Bradley

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Paul Pierce

Most likely amnesty decision: Not use it. After signing five different players to contracts over $5 million for 2013-14 this past off-season, the Celtics took all the incentive out of using the amnesty provision on Pierce in 2013.

Brooklyn Nets

Used amnesty provision on Travis Outlaw (December 15, 2011) 

Charlotte Bobcats

Players Eligible for amnesty: Tyrus Thomas

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Tyrus Thomas

Most likely amnesty decision: Tyrus Thomas in 2014. As of now, the Bobcats do not have enough salary on the books to necessitate making an amnesty move this coming summer. As such, the most likely play is to keep Thomas until the summer of 2014 when Ben Gordon’s contract is cleared from the ledger. As of now, Charlotte only has players on rookie deals and Brendan Haywood getting money then, so it could be the right time to strike.

Chicago Bulls

Players Eligible for amnesty: Carlos Boozer, Luol Deng, Joakim Noah

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Carlos Boozer

Most likely amnesty decision: Carlos Boozer in 2014. The decision has become even clearer now, though the Taj Gibson extension could push the timeline up a little bit if the Bulls are feeling the pressure financially next summer. However, Boozer’s last year comes the same year that Luol Deng becomes a free agent, so a proactive Bulls team could make some FA/trade noise since they have less money on the books.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Used amnesty provision on Baron Davis (December 14, 2011) 

Dallas Mavericks

Used amnesty provision on Brendan Haywood (July 12, 2012)

Denver Nuggets

Used amnesty provision on Chris Andersen (July 17, 2012)

Detroit Pistons

Players Eligible for amnesty: Charlie Villanueva and Greg Monroe

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Charlie Villanueva

Most likely amnesty decision: Charlie Villanueva in 2013. It seemed like a foregone conclusion in 2012 and absolutely has to be done in 2013. I cannot see a tangible benefit to leaving his $8.58 million on the cap for 2013-14.

Golden State Warriors 

Used amnesty provision on Charlie Bell (December 11, 2011) 

Houston Rockets

Used amnesty provision on Luis Scola (July 13, 2012)

Indiana Pacers

Used amnesty provision on James Posey (December 12, 2011) 

Los Angeles Clippers

Used amnesty provision on Ryan Gomes (July 18, 2012)

Los Angeles Lakers

Players Eligible for amnesty: Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, Metta World Peace, Steve Blake

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Metta World Peace, Steve Blake

Most likely amnesty decision: Metta World Peace in 2013. Since the Lakers have to decide about amnesty during the first week after the July moratorium, they will not have enough information on Kobe’s progress to amnesty him. Furthermore, they would only yield a big benefit if Dwight Howard leaves the Lakers and we likely will not know that at such an early stage in the process. Even though the Lakers continue to need a quality small forward in the worst way, shedding the final year of World Peace's onerous deal seems like the best play. 

Memphis Grizzlies

Players Eligible for amnesty: Zach Randolph, Mike Conley

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Zach Randolph (in 2014)

Most likely amnesty decision: Not use it. Shedding Rudy Gay’s big contract means that the Grizzlies do not have to amnesty anyone in order to avoid the biggest costs of the new luxury tax system. At the present time, the only salaries the team has on the books for 2014-15 are Randolph, Marc Gasol, Mike Conley Jr, Tayshaun Prince, Darrell Arthur and Tony Wroten. Add in a rookie or two and you still have a workable structure. At this point it feels more likely that Randolph would get traded than amnestied since he would still provide value to the team.

Miami Heat

Players Eligible for amnesty: Chris Bosh, LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Mike Miller, Udonis Haslem, Joel Anthony

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Joel Anthony, Mike Miller

Most likely amnesty decision: Joel Anthony in 2014. The reigning champs did not lose a single player from their amnesty list over the past year thanks to roster stability. Mike Miller’s health could end up making him the pick but Joel Anthony’s $3.8 million final season stands out since the Heat do not have a veteran shooter locked up for 2014-15 at this time. Look for one of the two of them to be shed then, though.

Milwaukee Bucks

Players Eligible for amnesty: Drew Gooden and Larry Sanders

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Drew Gooden

Most likely amnesty decision: Drew Gooden in 2013. At this point, Drew Gooden’s two remaining years are the only reasonable option left for amnesty purposes. Considering Brandon Jennings will get a major pay raise this summer and the Bucks will need any flexibility they can get whether or not they retain either Monta Ellis or JJ Redick, look for Gooden to go even though the team stands unlikely to benefit in any way other than cap room. 

Minnesota Timberwolves

Used amnesty provision on Darko Milicic (July 12, 2012)

New Orleans Hornets

Players Eligible for amnesty: No one

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: No one

Most likely amnesty decision: Not use it. By trading all three players eligible for the amnesty provision (Emeka Okafor, Trevor Ariza and Jarrett Jack), the Hornets became the first team to be assured not to use it this time around.

New York Knicks

Used amnesty provision on Chauncey Billups (December 10, 2011)

Oklahoma City Thunder

Players Eligible for amnesty: Kevin Durant, Kendrick Perkins, Thabo Sefolosha, Nick Collison

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Kendrick Perkins

Most likely amnesty decision:  Not use it. We will have to see how Sam Presti handles the Kendrick Perkins situation but my read is that they will not utilize it after either of the next two seasons. Nick Collison would have a slight chance in 2014 if he were not so popular with the team and management.

Orlando Magic 

Used amnesty provision on Gilbert Arenas (December 9, 2011) 

Philadelphia 76ers

Used amnesty provision on Elton Brand (July 12, 2012)

Phoenix Suns

Used amnesty provision on Josh Childress (July 16, 2012)

Portland Trail Blazers

Used amnesty provision on Brandon Roy (December 15, 2011)

Sacramento Kings

Players Eligible for amnesty: John Salmons, DeMarcus Cousins

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: John Salmons

Most likely amnesty decision: John Salmons in 2013. Since Salmons’s deal is only partially guaranteed ($1 million) in 2014-15, the Kings would have some flexibility in the 2013 offseason when Evans can be extended and Cousins will be one year away if they cut him loose at that point. With new ownership looking to make a splash, having some extra money this offseason could be useful to the Kings.

San Antonio Spurs

Players Eligible for amnesty: Tony Parker and Matt Bonner

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Matt Bonner

Most likely amnesty decision: Not use it. Bonner’s partially guaranteed 2013-2014 salary would be a possibility but appears unlikely at best.

Toronto Raptors

Players Eligible for amnesty: Andrea Bargnani, Amir Johnson, Linas Kleiza

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: Linas Kleiza, Andrea Bargnani

Most likely amnesty decision: Linas Kleiza in 2013. Utilizing amnesty on Bargnani would be too big an admission of defeat for management, though theoretically a change at the top coupled with more bad play could change the equation sufficiently to put Il Mago on the amnesty line. With that, getting a little bit more space in terms of the apron/tax line would be good for the Raptors if they are unwilling to bite the bigger bullet in the form of Bargnani.

Utah Jazz

Players Eligible for amnesty:  Derrick Favors

Reasonable candidates for amnesty: None

Most likely amnesty decision: Not use it. With only young buck Derrick Favors left as eligible to be amnestied, every conceivable sign points to the Jazz joining the Hornets in August 2013 as teams guaranteed not to use the provision.

Washington Wizards

Used amnesty provision on Andray Blatche (July 17, 2012)

LeBron's Recruitment Of Ray Allen Took Years In The Making

LeBron James waited and waited in his recruitment for Ray Allen, waiting for a response to the pitches he has made over the years. The possibility started out as friendly, subdued offers, but it always stayed with Allen. When his career with the Celtics deteriorated, Allen finally came back to James with the message both men wanted, and, yes, the time is now.

Norris Cole Could Play Significant Role In Playoffs

There will undoubtedly come a time this postseason when the Heat will need Norris Cole to contribute something in order to win a game. It may be by hitting an open three, finding a teammate near the rim or simply by contributing quality minutes to the second unit. When that time comes, Cole will be ready and grateful for the opportunity.

Miami's Win Streak In Real Perspective

One of the most admirable things the Heat have shown us is that even the most talented team isn't opposed to the idea of growth and maturity, elements that have been at the forefront of their season. Winning the championship only made them hungrier for more championships. The same thinking can be applied to their historic streak.

Fred Hoiberg's Future

The early returns are impressive, but Fred Hoiberg's free-flowing and wide-open style of play is what has really caught the eyes of NBA GM’s. He could become the Chip Kelly of college hoops, unless the NBA grabs him before he has the chance to finish the job at Iowa State.

How Many Players Teams Acquire At Each Trade Deadline On Average

The Kings, Knicks, Rockets, Thunder and Cavaliers have been the most active teams at the deadline over the past decade, while the Spurs, Pistons, Heat, Lakers and Pacers have made the fewest deals.

Wade, Bosh Training With Ed Downs

Ed Downs focuses on the six skill parameters during training sessions with Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh, which are speed, coordination, reaction time, agility, power and balance.

Wade Cherishes Milwaukee Return While Thinking Big Picture

Just like last season, Dwyane Wade has welcomed giving up the leading role to LeBron James, shifting from an all-time alpha dog to the player who can still carry the Heat at times. He enjoys that he doesn’t have to shoulder the scoring burden game in, game out like before, though.

Superteam On Life Support

The Heat began slowly in the fall of 2010 when their supporting cast was substandard. The Lakers now find themselves in a similar situation, compounded by injuries to several of their stars. Mitch Kupchak must upgrade the personnel for the Lakers to meet their lofty expectations.

Mentor, Protege Reunited Years Later For Title Run

Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis have helped each other adjust to life in Miami. Neither guy knew much about their new teammates. In fact, they didn’t know anything other than what they learned from playing against them. They’ve relied on their friendship to help them deal with their new surroundings.

Leroux's 2012-13 NBA Tier Predcitions

While the drop-off from the Heat to the rest of the Eastern Conference is severe, the Lakers, Spurs and Thunder have quick company in the second and third tiers.

The Real Issue With The Allen-Garnett Incident

One could have easily assumed that Kevin Garnett would hold a grudge against Ray Allen, not only for leaving the Celtics as a free agent but for joining the hated Heat as well.

Wise End Of Bench Moves

This is the part of the offseason in which general managers fill out the very end of their roster. Would a name player at the very end of their career really make more sense than someone like Terrence Williams, DeAndre Liggins or Sundiata Gaines?

Leroux's 30-Team Offseason Review

The Nuggets, Lakers, Heat, 76ers and Nets were amongst the teams with great offseasons, while the Bucks, Magic, Suns, Knicks, Cavaliers and Bulls were in the bad column. Here's how all 30 teams have fared in the 2012 offseason.

Team-By-Team Gold Medal Winners

The Jazz and Thunder have had the most Gold Medalists since the USA began bringing NBA players in 1992, while Duke leads amongst colleges. How do the other 29 NBA teams rank?

Star Among Stars (LeBron's Performance For The Ages)

More impressive than even his stats was LeBron James command of the game. While his teammates restricted their game and played more as specialists, LeBron expanded his. Whatever Team USA needed -- scoring, playmaking, rebounding, perimeter or interior defense -- he provided.

The NBA's Clustering Of Stars

When the All-NBA teams were expanded to include a third team in 1989, 52% of the league had a representative. In 2012, it was just 33% as the Heat, Thunder, Knicks, Lakers and Clippers had multiple representatives. The Nets will likely join them in 2013 with Deron Williams and Dwight Howard.

More Fans, More Money, More Resources (Even Under New CBA)

If Miami and Oklahoma City are going to stage a rematch of the 2012 NBA Finals, they’re going to have to go through the Lakers, Clippers, Nets and Knicks to do it.

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