It's difficult to fathom that with the fifth pick the Miami Heat would select a fourth-tier quality player.

But that's the way draft expert Chris Monter sees this draft shaping up.

''To me there is a drop-off after the first pick, another drop-off after the third pick and another drop-off after the fourth pick,'' Monter said. ``That's why I think there would be a good propensity for [the Heat] making a trade because there is such a drop-off.''