Injured to end his sophomore season, Ed Davis is still a solid lottery pick but not with the same level of confidence as many of the other bigs. He has a promising low post game, but will also be a fit for offenses that like to run and setup the halfcourt out of the pick and roll.
The most important part of the draft process for Davis, as far as I'm concerned, is what he measures out at in terms of height. He is listed at 6'10", but given his struggles when played straight-up by defenders who are his height or taller, he might be closer to 6'9" or even 6'8". Davis has tremendously soft touch around the bucket, but he will be extremely vulnerable to getting his attempts blocked, especially during his first season or two in the NBA.
Davis also struggles adjusting to secondary help defenders, letting himself be stripped or simply stopped in his tracks. His recognition seems to be a beat slow and he too frequently gets himself into irreconcilable position.
He has a beautiful hook shot, going straight up with his left hand to elevate over his defender. I
Because he is a lefty without much confidence in his off-hand, Davis is significantly more effective when allowed to work out of the right block. He will frequently go middle into the paint and is extremely difficult to guard here if there isn't help defense.
On the right block, Davis will almost never attempt to go into the paint middle and will instead more comfortably go baseline.
Davis doesn't have numbers in the post that blow you away and that is largely because his attempts are consistently closely contested and he almost never has an up and under or any type of other move that gets him from the post to the rim for a guaranteed bucket.
Before catching the ball in the post, Davis does do a good job of fighting for position. His motor is excellent and he also has good fundamentals and understanding of angles.
Some of his more impressive moments offensively are as a slasher and off the dribble. You look at his post game in pieces and think that it will develop well enough to become well above average, but I think that part of his game will be secondary. Davis is very impressive in pick and slip situations and he does extremely well when he can put the ball on the floor a little bit, especially with some space.
Davis is extremely agile and is able to contort in the air, likely an advantage of how slight of build he is at present. Ideally, he would gain strength while preserving that nimbleness, but it worth sacrificing to improve his overall game.
As a shooter, Davis projects to be very competent. He increased his free throw percentage from 57.3% as a freshman to 65.9% as a sophomore. He has strong form on his catch and shoot jumper from about 15 feet and it should evolve into a reliable aspect of his game.
Many of his shot attempts that aren't near the rim come on a little baseline shot he likes to attempt, but they are almost exclusively flat and without much touch.
His hands on the catch are sometimes a little shaky, fumbling the occasional pass when in traffic.
Davis is functionally athletic, though far from elite. He can run the floor well and elevate, but he doesn't overwhelm his opponents with his lift or quickness. Davis also needs to add considerable bulk to his frame. He isn't nearly as slender as Brandan Wright, but he wore a t-shirt under his jersey at North Carolina for a very apparent reason.
Defensively, Davis does a very good job blocking shots and contesting shooters, but he is a little all over the place with his lateral movements when defending in isolation. His recognition doesn't match his his physical gifts, leaving him vulnerable to being beat off the dribble.
Davis does block shots effectively, averaging 2.7 in 26.9 minutes per game during his sophomore season. I sense that he expects his shotblocking to compensate for getting beat defensively, allowing him to recover.
As a rebounder, Davis will be very effective in the NBA on both ends of the floor. Combining his ability to get up really long with how hard he works, Davis will have phenomenal rebound rates defensively, as well as the more valuable offensive end of the floor.
Chris Reina is the executive editor of RealGM. Follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/cr_reina.






