The Lottery is in some ways the Kentucky Derby of the NBA's calendar if it were run in a New Jersey studio as if it were a sketch comedy show.
Mikhail D. Prokhorov added to the fun this season, but it was Irene Pollin, widow of Abe Pollin who gave the Wizards the luck they needed to win the 2010 NBA Lottery.
I am in Chicago for the pre-draft camp and will be posting a full Mock Draft upon its conclusion.
1. Wizards, John Wall: John Wall was predestined for the top pick regardless of which team won the lottery, even if the Hornets or Jazz were the fortuitous victors. If the Wizards were completely committed to Gilbert Arenas as they were when they gave him that nine-figure contract in 2008, they could entertain trading down to the second slot to draft Evan Turner, but Wall is an absolute godsend for the franchise.
Not since the Cavaliers won in 2003 has a team that so badly needed to win the lottery actually won. Wall won't be the type of city-changer that LeBron James has been for Cleveland, but he is a franchise-changer on par with Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose and Dwight Howard.
The Wizards won't make a huge free agency splash on the superstar level, but they will undoubtedly become a dark horse. A marriage of Washington and Rudy Gay now makes a lot more sense and Wall is the kind of player that could put him onto a whole different type of level.
We can officially and fully add Randy Foye to the 2010 free agency can.
2. Sixers, Evan Turner: As I Tweeted after the lottery, Jrue Holiday got lucky but not too lucky since John Wall would have probably been the end of him in Philadelphia. I'll love the Holiday/Turner backcourt and Ed Stefanski has a ton of pieces to work with to put the Sixers back into the playoffs.
With the Hawks potentially imploding, the Sixers could become a new version of that team. They won't have a superstar, but the sum of their collective parts has the potential to be very strong.. second round of the playoffs strong.
3. Nets, Derrick Favors: The Nets and Wolves are undoubtedly disappointed following the lottery as the former were banking on Wall and the latter were hoping for Turner, but both teams will improve substantially with the picks I project.
A Favors/Brook Lopez combo at the power forward/center positions has the potential to be outstanding where the potential addition of Carmelo Anthony in 2011 would put them into Finals candidate territory.
4. Timberwolves, DeMarcus Cousins: If David Kahn is uninterested in rearranging the very obvious overlap in his roster and go with the same pick, by all means he will select Wes Johnson and upgrade his scoring on the wing.
But I've given up on Kevin Love and Al Jefferson ever being able to coexist and how much better than average will Johnson ever be?
For all of his red flags, I don't find Cousins to be as much of a gamble as advertised. He also is the only player in the draft that has the potential to contend with Wall as the best player of this draft eight to ten years from now.
Trading Jefferson for a proven wing and then drafting Cousins makes way more sense to me than drafting Johnson and trading Jefferson for an inferior talent to simply accommodate their roster overlap.
5. Kings, Wes Johnson: Sacramento is in a difficult position given the positional availability at this slot, leading to a strong possibility of a trade. The Kings could trade out of this slot in order to secure their ideal point guard to put beside Tyreke Evans.
6. Warriors, Al-Farouq Aminu: Aminu is a tweener at the moment, but I think he'll eventually be more of a small forward that occasionally will defend bigger. The Warriors could go for a power forward, but I still think the lineup of Andris Biedrins and Anthony Randolph up front is the most realistic given the resources at hand.
7. Pistons, Cole Aldrich: This isn't the kind of pick that will turn things around for the Pistons, but Aldrich becomes a solid asset and a legitimate starting center to pair with future lottery picks they draft in 2011 and 2012.
8. Clippers, Donatas Motiejunas: All of the wing prospects would be a big reach and the Clippers might as well wait on a free agent to come either this summer or next. I believe either Baron Davis or Chris Kaman will eventually be traded and this pick could tip their hand.
9. Jazz, Greg Monroe: I'm not sure there could possibly be a better fit for Monroe than Utah, where he will fully make use of his passing skills.
10. Pacers, Ed Davis: Even though Indiana cost themselves three or four draft slots with their late season surge, Davis could fall to 10 given the Pistons, Clippers and Jazz needs for positions other than power forward. Davis has top-five talent, but is coming off injury and didn't dominate nearly as well as many were expecting coming into his sophomore season.
11. Hornets, Hassan Whiteside: Jeff Bower will have several big men options available to him and if his streak from 2009 carries over, Whiteside will be the steal of the draft. He could also look at Daniel Orton, who strangely becomes the safer pick even though he also saw limited minutes during his freshman season at Kentucky.
12. Grizzlies, Xavier Henry: Memphis is difficult to project because of the uncertainty with Rudy Gay, O.J. Mayo and Mike Conley. None of the three Grizzlies players are locked in on their roster, leading to a possibility of one of those three positions becoming available. Gay is the likeliest candidate to leave, making Henry the best pick if they stay in this slot.
13. Raptors, Daniel Orton: Orton is a true center with legitimate upside that is rarely available this far down in the draft. This will allow Andrea Bargnani to be less of a vulnerability on defense over time. If Toronto believes they can clear Jose Calderon this summer, which is of course a legitimate possibility, looking at an Eric Bledsoe or Avery Bradley to become Jarrett Jack's understudy for a year or two would also be a prudent move.
14. Rockets, Ekpe Udoh: Knowing Daryl Morey, I would be surprised to see him drafting in this spot. He has a ton of assets at his disposal and has no more room for super fringe role players, needing to solidify his rotation players. If he had to be stuck here, Udoh is the kind of talent that would work well for the Rockets.
Chris Reina is the executive editor of RealGM. Follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/cr_reina.






