college basketball analysts should be thinking of this a bit like Batting Average on Balls in Play in baseball. If a team is way too high or way too low in free throw defense or three point percentage defense, that probably is a bit about luck. Both within seasons and between seasons, we shouldn’t necessarily expect that component of defensive performance to persist. Read more »

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If a player like Jadaveon Clowney was in the NBA draft, there is little chance he would go No. 1 overall. When it comes to evaluating prospects, NFL teams don't seem to be as much in the thrall of individual statistics Read more »

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Both teams bring in multiple impact freshmen, but based on the entire roster, Duke has more offensive weapons. The more interesting question is whether Kansas or Duke will have the better defense in 14-15. Read more »

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I explore the stats that make my model more skeptical of Texas, SMU, San Diego St., and Oklahoma, and I show that Syracuse, Ohio St., and UCLA still have plenty of elite high school talent. Read more »

Damian Lillard, Stephen Curry, Paul Millsap, Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Roy Hibbert were given three or fewer stars coming out of high school. Read more »

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Five bigs with radically divergent styles could conceivably become the top-five picks of the 2015 NBA Draft, though it was a big point guard that had the best individual performance at the Nike Hoop Summit. Read more »

Unless you have LeBron James or Kevin Durant, you're not getting anywhere without a good center. Joel Embiid is the one guy from this class who brings instant credibility to the team that drafts him. Read more »

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