Early evaluations suggest a significantly thinner class for the 2027 NBA draft than the star-powered groups that preceded it. Kansas-bound forward Tyran Stokes opens atop early projections, but no consensus has formed among NBA front offices this far out.
League executives have described the incoming freshman class as underwhelming compared to recent years, with the 2027 draft drawing comparisons to 2024, when no clear-cut top pick emerged and teams were widely split on valuations. The international pool is also considered below average.
Stokes, a 6-foot-7 point forward, holds a slight edge over his peers due to his size, athleticism and playmaking vision. However, NBA scouts have flagged concerns about his shooting consistency, decision-making and on-court temperament. Kansas coach Bill Self will be tasked with developing him over what is expected to be a single college season.
"Whether Stokes remains at No. 1 a year from now will depend largely on his ability to assuage teams' concerns," ESPN's Jeremy Woo wrote. "He will be under heavy scrutiny from Day 1 as teams dig deep into his background and try to make sense of his No. 1 candidacy."
Should Stokes struggle, Arkansas guard Jordan Smith Jr. and Arizona combo guard Caleb Holt are viewed as alternative top candidates.
The 2027 draft will also be the first conducted under the NBA's new lottery rules, which flatten odds and expand the lottery pool to 16 teams. No team can win the lottery in consecutive years or have a pick land in the top five in three straight drafts, effectively reducing the incentive for intentional losing.
Notable returners from the 2026 class add depth to the pool. UConn guard Braylon Mullins and Florida forward Thomas Haugh, who each ranked inside the top 20 on ESPN's 2026 board, opted to remain in school and figure prominently in early 2027 projections.
ESPN's Early 2027 NBA Mock Draft
1. Sacramento Kings: Tyran Stokes, SF, 6-7, Freshman, Kansas
2. Chicago Bulls: Jordan Smith Jr., PG/SG, 6-2, Freshman, Arkansas
3. Memphis Grizzlies: Caleb Holt, SG/PG, 6-5, Freshman, Arizona
4. Houston Rockets (via Brooklyn): Bruce Branch III, SG/SF, 6-7, Freshman, BYU
5. Atlanta Hawks (via New Orleans): Stefan Joksimovic, PG, 6-7, Freshman, Baskonia (Spain)
6. New Orleans Pelicans (via Milwaukee): Braylon Mullins, SG, 6-6, Sophomore, UConn
7. Memphis Grizzlies (via Utah): Thomas Haugh, SF/PF, 6-9, Senior, Florida
8. Charlotte Hornets (via Dallas): Jason Crowe Jr., PG/SG, 6-3, Freshman, Missouri
9. Washington Wizards: Anthony Thompson, SF/PF, 6-9, Freshman, Ohio State
10. Houston Rockets (via Phoenix): Cameron Williams, F/C, 6-11, Freshman, Duke
11. Caleb Gaskins, PF, Miami | Freshman
12. Miikka Muurinen, PF, Arkansas | Freshman
13. Austin Goosby, PG/SG, Texas | Freshman
14. Motiejus Krivas, C, Arizona | Senior
15. Luigi Suigo, C, Villanova | Freshman
16. Matt Able, SG, North Carolina | Sophomore
17. Alex Condon, PF/C, Florida | Senior
18. Dame Sarr, SG, Duke | Sophomore
19. Cameron Houindo, PF, Cedevita | France
20. Christian Collins, SF, USC | Freshman
21. Babatunde Oladotun, SF, Maryland | Freshman
22. Jaxon Richardson, SF, Alabama | Freshman
23. Brandon McCoy, SG, Michigan | Freshman
24. Hugo Yimga-Moukouri, SF, Nanterre | France
25. Sayon Keita, C, North Carolina | Freshman
26. Amari Allen, SF, Alabama | Sophomore
27. Ivan Kharchenkov, SF, Arizona | Sophomore
28. Patrick Ngongba II, C, Duke | Sophomore
29. Juke Harris, SG, Tennessee | Sophomore
30. Tyler Tanner, PG, Vanderbilt | Junior
31. Malachi Moreno, C, Kentucky | Sophomore
32. Cheickh Niang, SG, Trento | Italy
33. Colben Landrew, SG, UConn | Freshman
34. Obinna Ekezie Jr., C, Louisville | Freshman
35. Trey McKenney Jr., SG, Michigan | Sophomore
36. Quentin Coleman, PG, Illinois | Freshman
37. Dylan Mingo, PG, Baylor | Freshman
38. Stefan Vaaks, SG/PG, Illinois | Sophomore
39. Milan Momcilovic, PF, Kentucky | Senior
40. Dash Daniels, PG/SG, Melbourne United | Australia
41. Massamba Diop, C, Gonzaga | Sophomore
42. Tounde Yessoufou, SG/SF, St. John's | Sophomore
43. Moustapha Thiam, C, Michigan | Junior
44. David Mirkovic, SF/PF, Illinois | Sophomore
45. Miles Byrd, SG, Providence | Senior
46. Joseph Tugler, PF, Houston | Senior
47. Flory Bidunga, C, Louisville | Junior
48. Shelton Henderson, SG, Miami | Sophomore
49. Davis Fogle, SG, Gonzaga | Sophomore
50. Jacob Cofie, SF/PF, USC | Sophomore
51. Rueben Chinyelu, C, Florida | Senior
52. Billy Richmond III, SG/SF, Arkansas | Junior
53. Neoklis Avdalas, SF, North Carolina | Sophomore
54. Sam Lewis, SG, Virginia | Senior
55. Pryce Sandfort, SF, Nebraska | Senior
56. Matas Vokietaitis, C, Texas | Junior
57. Andrej Stojakovic, SG, Illinois | Senior
58. Jeremy Fears Jr., PG, Michigan State | Junior
59. Killyan Toure, SG/PG, Iowa State | Sophomore
60. John Blackwell, SG, Duke | Senior










