Celtics vs. Heat: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Home/Road Splits

The Miami Heat are 10.5-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Boston Celtics at Kaseya Center on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET on TNT, BSSUN, and NBCS-BOS. The Celtics hold a 2-1 series lead. The matchup's point total is set at 204.5.

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Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Info

  • When: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
  • TV: TNT, BSSUN, and NBCS-BOS
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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Favorite Spread Over/Under
Celtics -10.5 204.5

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Read More About This Game

Celtics Betting Records & Stats

  • In 76 of 82 games this season, Boston and its opponents have gone over 204.5 points.
  • Boston has an average total of 229.8 in its matchups this year, 25.3 more points than this game's over/under.
  • The Celtics are 42-36-4 ATS this season.
  • This season, Boston has won 63 out of the 79 games, or 79.7%, in which it has been favored.
  • Boston has a record of 25-3, a 89.3% win rate, when it's favored by -526 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Celtics, based on the moneyline, is 84%.

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Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami has combined with its opponent to score more than 204.5 points in 65 of 82 games this season.
  • Miami's games this year have had a 218.5-point total on average, 14 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • Miami is 39-39-4 ATS this season.
  • The Heat have been victorious in 11, or 31.4%, of the 35 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +392.
  • Miami has an implied victory probability of 20.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

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Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 204.5 % of Games Over 204.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Celtics 76 92.7% 120.6 230.7 109.2 217.6 229
Heat 65 79.3% 110.1 230.7 108.4 217.6 220.6

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Additional Celtics Insights & Trends

  • The Celtics have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
  • The Celtics have gone over the total in six of their last 10 outings.
  • At home, Boston has a better record against the spread (23-17-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (19-19-3).
  • The Celtics average 120.6 points per game, 12.2 more points than the 108.4 the Heat give up.
  • When Boston puts up more than 108.4 points, it is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall.

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Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami is 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over its past 10 games.
  • In their past 10 games, the Heat have hit the over seven times.
  • Against the spread, Miami has had better results on the road (23-14-4) than at home (16-25-0).
  • The Heat average just 0.9 more points per game (110.1) than the Celtics give up to opponents (109.2).
  • Miami is 27-12-2 against the spread and 33-8 overall when it scores more than 109.2 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Splits

Celtics and Heat Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 10.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Celtics 42-36-four 17-13 43-37-2
Heat 39-39-4 0-0 35-47

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Celtics vs. Heat Point Insights

Celtics Heat
120.6
Points Scored (PG)
110.1
2
NBA Rank (PPG)
26
40-25-3
ATS Record Scoring > AVG
27-12-2
58-10
Overall Record Scoring > AVG
33-8
109.2
Points Allowed (PG)
108.4
5
NBA Rank (PAPG)
3
33-10-3
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
38-30-4
42-4
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
45-27

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