Celtics vs. Heat: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Home/Road Splits

The Miami Heat are 14-point underdogs heading into a potentially-deciding Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET on TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN. The Celtics have a 3-1 series lead. The matchup has an over/under of 201.

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Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Info

  • When: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV: TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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Favorite Spread Over/Under
Celtics -14 201

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Read More About This Game

Celtics Betting Records & Stats

  • Boston and its opponents have gone over 201 combined points in 80 of 82 games this season.
  • The average total in Boston's contests this year is 229.8, 28.8 more points than this game's over/under.
  • The Celtics have a 42-36-4 record against the spread this season.
  • Boston has won 63, or 79.7%, of the 79 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Boston has a record of 10-2, a 83.3% win rate, when it's favored by -1111 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Celtics, based on the moneyline, is 91.7%.

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Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami has played 70 games this season that ended with a combined score over 201 points.
  • Miami's contests this season have a 218.5-point average over/under, 17.5 more points than this game's point total.
  • So far this year, Miami has compiled a 39-39-4 record against the spread.
  • The Heat have come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +665.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Miami has a 13.1% chance of pulling out a win.

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Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 201 % of Games Over 201 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Celtics 80 97.6% 120.6 230.7 109.2 217.6 229
Heat 70 85.4% 110.1 230.7 108.4 217.6 220.6

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Additional Celtics Insights & Trends

  • The Celtics have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • The Celtics have hit the over in five of their last 10 contests.
  • Boston sports a better record against the spread at home (23-17-1) than it does in road games (19-19-3).
  • The Celtics record 120.6 points per game, 12.2 more points than the 108.4 the Heat give up.
  • Boston has a 40-25-3 record against the spread and a 58-10 record overall when scoring more than 108.4 points.

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Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami has a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in its past 10 contests.
  • Six of the Heat's last 10 games have hit the over.
  • This season, Miami is 16-25-0 at home against the spread (.390 winning percentage). Away, it is 23-14-4 ATS (.561).
  • The Heat score just 0.9 more points per game (110.1) than the Celtics allow (109.2).
  • Miami is 27-12-2 against the spread and 33-8 overall when it scores more than 109.2 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Splits

Celtics and Heat Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 14+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Celtics 42-36-four 8-5 43-37-2
Heat 39-39-4 0-0 35-47

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Celtics vs. Heat Point Insights

Celtics Heat
120.6
Points Scored (PG)
110.1
2
NBA Rank (PPG)
26
40-25-3
ATS Record Scoring > AVG
27-12-2
58-10
Overall Record Scoring > AVG
33-8
109.2
Points Allowed (PG)
108.4
5
NBA Rank (PAPG)
3
33-10-3
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
38-30-4
42-4
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
45-27

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