Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Home/Road Splits

The Denver Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The matchup's over/under is set at 209.5.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Info

  • When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: TNT and truTV
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max

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Favorite Spread Over/Under
Nuggets -4.5 209.5

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Nuggets Betting Records & Stats

  • Denver and its opponents have gone over 209.5 combined points in 67 of 82 games this season.
  • Denver's contests this year have an average total of 224.5, 15.0 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • So far this season, the Nuggets have compiled a 38-41-3 record against the spread.
  • Denver has entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 53, or 73.6%, of those games.
  • Denver has a record of 41-10, a 80.4% win rate, when it's favored by -189 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Nuggets.

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Timberwolves Betting Records & Stats

  • Minnesota has combined with its opponent to score more than 209.5 points in 61 of 82 games this season.
  • Minnesota's contests this season have a 219.5-point average over/under, 10.0 more points than this game's point total.
  • Minnesota is 40-39-3 against the spread this year.
  • The Timberwolves have won in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Minnesota has won two of its eight games when it is the underdog by at least +155 on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota has an implied victory probability of 39.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 209.5 % of Games Over 209.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Nuggets 67 81.7% 114.9 227.9 109.6 216.1 225.7
Timberwolves 61 74.4% 113.0 227.9 106.5 216.1 220.9

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Additional Nuggets Insights & Trends

  • The Nuggets have gone 8-2 over their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
  • In their past 10 games, the Nuggets have gone over the total five times.
  • Denver has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 21 times in 41 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered 17 times in 41 opportunities in road games.
  • The Nuggets score 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves give up (106.5).
  • Denver has a 35-26-2 record against the spread and a 53-10 record overall when putting up more than 106.5 points.

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Additional Timberwolves Insights & Trends

  • Minnesota has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in its past 10 games.
  • The Timberwolves have gone over the total in seven of their last 10 contests.
  • Against the spread, Minnesota has had better results away (22-17-2) than at home (18-22-1).
  • The Timberwolves' 113.0 points per game are just 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets give up.
  • Minnesota has put together a 35-17-1 ATS record and a 43-10 overall record in games it scores more than 109.6 points.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Splits

Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Nuggets 38-41-three 25-26-3 35-45-2
Timberwolves 40-39-3 4-5 41-40-1

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Point Insights

Nuggets Timberwolves
114.9
Points Scored (PG)
113.0
14
NBA Rank (PPG)
18
35-26-2
ATS Record Scoring > AVG
35-17-1
53-10
Overall Record Scoring > AVG
43-10
109.6
Points Allowed (PG)
106.5
6
NBA Rank (PAPG)
1
29-24-2
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
36-22-3
44-11
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
51-10

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