Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Home/Road Splits

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 3-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Timberwolves have a 2-1 lead in the series. The over/under is 204 in the matchup.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Info

  • When: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max

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Favorite Spread Over/Under
Timberwolves -3 204

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Timberwolves Betting Records & Stats

  • In 69 of 82 games this season, Minnesota and its opponents have scored more than 204 points.
  • Minnesota's contests this year have an average point total of 219.5, 15.5 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • The Timberwolves have a 40-39-3 record against the spread this season.
  • Minnesota has been the favorite in 61 games this season and won 46 (75.4%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 38-9, a 80.9% win rate, when it's favored by -159 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Timberwolves.

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Nuggets Betting Records & Stats

  • Denver's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 204 points in 73 of 82 outings.
  • The average total for Denver's games this season has been 224.5, 20.5 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • Denver has a 38-41-3 record against the spread this season.
  • The Nuggets have been chosen as underdogs in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win four times (40%) in those games.
  • This season, Denver has won two of its four games when it is the underdog by at least +134 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Denver has a 42.7% chance of walking away with the win.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 204 % of Games Over 204 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Timberwolves 69 84.1% 113 227.9 106.5 216.1 220.9
Nuggets 73 89% 114.9 227.9 109.6 216.1 225.7

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Additional Timberwolves Insights & Trends

  • The Timberwolves have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • The Timberwolves have gone over the total in six of their past 10 contests.
  • When playing at home, Minnesota owns a worse record against the spread (18-22-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (22-17-2).
  • The Timberwolves average 113 points per game, just 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets give up.
  • Minnesota has a 35-17-1 record against the spread and a 43-10 record overall when putting up more than 109.6 points.

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Additional Nuggets Insights & Trends

  • Denver is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its past 10 contests.
  • In their past 10 games, the Nuggets have hit the over four times.
  • Denver has been better against the spread at home (21-18-2) than away (17-23-1) this season.
  • The Nuggets score an average of 114.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
  • When it scores more than 106.5 points, Denver is 35-26-2 against the spread and 53-10 overall.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Splits

Timberwolves and Nuggets Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 3+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Timberwolves 40-39-three 22-25-3 41-40-1
Nuggets 38-41-3 3-1 35-45-2

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Point Insights

Timberwolves Nuggets
113
Points Scored (PG)
114.9
18
NBA Rank (PPG)
14
35-17-1
ATS Record Scoring > AVG
35-26-2
43-10
Overall Record Scoring > AVG
53-10
106.5
Points Allowed (PG)
109.6
1
NBA Rank (PAPG)
6
36-22-3
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
29-24-2
51-10
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
44-11

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