Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Home/Road Splits

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 2.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Nuggets lead the series 3-2. The over/under for the matchup is 204.5.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Info

  • When: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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Favorite Spread Over/Under
Timberwolves -2.5 204.5

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Read More About This Game

Timberwolves Betting Records & Stats

  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over 204.5 combined points in 69 of 82 games this season.
  • Minnesota's contests this year have an average point total of 219.5, 15 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • The Timberwolves are 40-39-3 ATS this season.
  • Minnesota has won 46, or 75.4%, of the 61 games it has played as the favorite this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 43-14, a 75.4% win rate, when it's favored by -131 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Timberwolves.

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Nuggets Betting Records & Stats

  • Denver has played 72 games this season that ended with a point total above 204.5 points.
  • Denver's outings this season have a 224.5-point average over/under, 20 more points than this game's total.
  • Denver's ATS record is 38-41-3 this year.
  • The Nuggets have won in four of the 10 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Denver has won two of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +111 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Denver has a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 204.5 % of Games Over 204.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Timberwolves 69 84.1% 113 227.9 106.5 216.1 220.9
Nuggets 72 87.8% 114.9 227.9 109.6 216.1 225.7

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Additional Timberwolves Insights & Trends

  • The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
  • The Timberwolves have gone over the total in seven of their last 10 outings.
  • Minnesota owns a worse record against the spread in home games (18-22-1) than it does on the road (22-17-2).
  • The 113 points per game the Timberwolves average are just 3.4 more points than the Nuggets give up (109.6).
  • Minnesota has a 35-17-1 record against the spread and a 43-10 record overall when putting up more than 109.6 points.

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Additional Nuggets Insights & Trends

  • Denver is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its past 10 games.
  • The Nuggets have hit the over in four of their last 10 outings.
  • This season, Denver is 21-18-2 at home against the spread (.512 winning percentage). Away, it is 17-23-1 ATS (.415).
  • The Nuggets score an average of 114.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves give up to opponents.
  • Denver is 35-26-2 against the spread and 53-10 overall when it scores more than 106.5 points.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Splits

Timberwolves and Nuggets Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Timberwolves 40-39-three 23-27-3 41-40-1
Nuggets 38-41-3 3-3 35-45-2

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Point Insights

Timberwolves Nuggets
113
Points Scored (PG)
114.9
18
NBA Rank (PPG)
14
35-17-1
ATS Record Scoring > AVG
35-26-2
43-10
Overall Record Scoring > AVG
53-10
106.5
Points Allowed (PG)
109.6
1
NBA Rank (PAPG)
6
36-22-3
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
29-24-2
51-10
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
44-11

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