Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Home/Road Splits
The Denver Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 7 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The series is tied 3-3. The over/under in the matchup is set at 199.5.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Info
- When: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
- TV: TNT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Max
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| Favorite | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -4.5 | 199.5 |
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Nuggets Betting Records & Stats
- In 78 games this season, Denver and its opponents have gone over 199.5 combined points.
- Denver has an average total of 224.5 in its contests this year, 25 more points than this game's over/under.
- The Nuggets are 38-41-3 against the spread this season.
- Denver has entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 53, or 73.6%, of those games.
- This season, Denver has won 39 of its 48 games, or 81.2%, when favored by at least -197 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Nuggets, based on the moneyline, is 66.3%.
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Timberwolves Betting Records & Stats
- Minnesota has combined with its opponent to score more than 199.5 points in 70 of 82 games this season.
- The average total for Minnesota's games this season has been 219.5, 20 more points than this matchup's over/under.
- So far this season, Minnesota has compiled a 40-39-3 record against the spread.
- The Timberwolves have won in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- Minnesota has a record of 1-4 when it is set as the underdog by +164 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Minnesota has an implied victory probability of 37.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)
| Games Over 199.5 | % of Games Over 199.5 | Average PPG | Combined Average PPG | Average Opponent PPG | Combined Average Opponent PPG | Average Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | 78 | 95.1% | 114.9 | 227.9 | 109.6 | 216.1 | 225.7 |
| Timberwolves | 70 | 85.4% | 113 | 227.9 | 106.5 | 216.1 | 220.9 |
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Additional Nuggets Insights & Trends
- The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests.
- Four of Nuggets' last 10 contests have hit the over.
- Denver has done a better job covering the spread in home games (21-18-2) than it has in road tilts (17-23-1).
- The Nuggets put up 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves give up (106.5).
- When Denver totals more than 106.5 points, it is 35-26-2 against the spread and 53-10 overall.
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Additional Timberwolves Insights & Trends
- Minnesota has gone 7-3 in its past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span.
- Six of the Timberwolves' past 10 contests have hit the over.
- Minnesota's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-22-1). On the road, it is .537 (22-17-2).
- The Timberwolves' 113 points per game are only 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets allow to opponents.
- Minnesota has put together a 35-17-1 ATS record and a 43-10 overall record in games it scores more than 109.6 points.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Splits
| ATS Record | ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread | Over/Under Record (O-U-P) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | 38-41-three | 25-26-3 | 35-45-2 |
| Timberwolves | 40-39-3 | 4-5 | 41-40-1 |
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Point Insights
| Nuggets | Timberwolves | |
|---|---|---|
| 114.9 | 113 | |
| 14 | 18 | |
| 35-26-2 | 35-17-1 | |
| 53-10 | 43-10 | |
| 109.6 | 106.5 | |
| 6 | 1 | |
| 29-24-2 | 36-22-3 | |
| 44-11 | 51-10 |
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