Ira Winderman of the Sun-Sentinel breaks down the draft possibilities for the Heat and their #10 pick. After Mike Dunleavy Jr. decided to remain in the draft, the first round has become a little clearer. The first three picks will probably be Yao Ming, Jay Williams and Dunleavy. After that, it?s not so certain.

Drew Gooden may not get past Memphis with the #4 pick. Chris Wilcox will probably not make it past the Knicks at #7. Word is that Nene Hilario will not get past the Suns at No. 9. Caron Butler limited his workouts to only teams holding the top eight picks in the draft, casting him as unlikely to make it beyond the Clippers' No. 8 selection.

With those seven seemingly beyond the Heat's grasp, the wild cards appear to be Italian League forward Nikoloz Tskitishvili, Memphis guard Dajuan Wagner and Indiana forward Jared Jeffries.

While the Warriors spent the weekend in Italy looking at Tskitishvili, indicating a relevance as early as No. 3, Dunleavy's opt-in seemingly makes such deliberations moot for Golden State. Jeffries appears on the rise, with Memphis, selecting at No. 4, having him in for a second workout.

The key to the equation could be Wagner, who could attract interest from Denver at No. 5 and also has been linked to Cleveland at No. 6. If Wagner gets beyond No. 6, he could go to the Clippers at No. 8 or fall for a while.

Early draft speculation had a pair of athletic youngsters, junior-college forward Qyntel Woods and Orlando-area prep standout Amare Stoudemire, as top-10 prospects. Woods, however, remains so unpolished that he could slip well beyond the Heat's selection unless he overwhelms the team in a workout today at AmericanAirlines Arena. Stoudemire, has slipped to the point where the Trail Blazers reportedly are considering trading for the Clippers' No. 12 selection to nab the imposing power forward.